investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueChina Clean Energy Technology Group Limited (2379.HK)

Previous CloseHK$0.25
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$0.25

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2020 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

China Clean Energy Technology Group Limited operates as a diversified real estate investment holding company with a multifaceted revenue strategy across three core segments. The company's property segment focuses on developing and leasing commercial properties within mainland China, while its financial services division provides specialized financing and procurement solutions. Additionally, the renovation service segment and sales of intelligent electronic products and furniture create supplementary revenue streams. Operating in China's highly competitive and regulated real estate market, the company maintains a niche position by combining traditional property development with ancillary service offerings. This diversified approach aims to mitigate sector-specific risks while capitalizing on complementary business lines, though the company operates at a smaller scale compared to major Chinese property developers. The strategic shift from its previous identity as Zhongtian International Limited reflects an ongoing evolution in its business focus and market positioning within the dynamic Chinese real estate landscape.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated HKD 51.9 million in revenue for FY2021 while reporting a substantial net loss of HKD 722.6 million. This significant negative profitability reflects severe operational challenges, with negative operating cash flow of HKD 432,000 further indicating fundamental business inefficiencies. The combination of modest revenue generation and substantial losses suggests critical issues in cost management or asset valuation within its operations.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrated severely impaired earnings power with a diluted EPS of -HKD 1.76, indicating substantial value destruction per share. Negative operating cash flow and capital expenditures of HKD 3.3 million suggest constrained capital allocation efficiency. The significant net loss relative to revenue base points to fundamental operational challenges in generating sustainable returns on invested capital.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows concerning leverage with total debt of HKD 687.5 million against cash reserves of only HKD 9.0 million, creating a strained liquidity position. The debt-to-equity ratio appears elevated given the company's market capitalization of approximately HKD 101 million, indicating potential financial distress and limited capacity to service obligations without restructuring or additional financing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite reporting a dividend of HKD 0.135 per share, the substantial net losses and negative cash flows raise questions about the sustainability of this distribution. The company's growth trajectory appears challenged by significant operational losses, though the maintained dividend may reflect strategic priorities despite apparent financial constraints. The divergence between dividend payments and fundamental performance warrants careful monitoring.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a market capitalization of HKD 101 million, the market appears to be pricing in substantial challenges reflected in the company's financial performance. The beta of 0.64 suggests moderate sensitivity to market movements, potentially indicating investor perception of the company's risk profile amid its operational difficulties and leveraged balance sheet position.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's diversified segment approach provides some risk mitigation, though current financial metrics indicate severe operational challenges. The ability to navigate China's evolving real estate market conditions while addressing substantial losses and debt burden will be critical for future viability. Strategic focus may require restructuring or divestment of underperforming assets to stabilize operations and improve financial health.

Sources

Company Annual ReportHong Kong Stock Exchange filingsBloomberg financial data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount