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Intrinsic ValueSMC Electric Limited (2381.HK)

Previous CloseHK$0.20
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$0.20

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

SMC Electric Limited operates as a specialized manufacturer and marketer of electric tools within the consumer cyclical sector, focusing primarily on the North American market through the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company's core revenue model centers on designing, manufacturing, and distributing essential electric products including industrial fans, work lights, and vacuum cleaners under its established SMC brand. Operating in the competitive furnishings, fixtures, and appliances industry, SMC leverages its long-standing presence since 1950 to maintain relationships with distributors and retailers while controlling costs through integrated manufacturing and sourcing capabilities. The company occupies a niche position targeting professional and industrial users rather than mass consumer markets, which provides some insulation from broader retail competition but limits its scale compared to larger global appliance manufacturers. Its market positioning relies on brand recognition within specific trade channels and cost-effective production from its Hong Kong base serving North American demand.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated HKD 257.3 million in revenue with net income of HKD 26.4 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 10.2%. Operating cash flow of HKD 31.0 million significantly exceeded net income, indicating strong cash conversion efficiency. Capital expenditures were minimal at HKD 1.5 million, suggesting a capital-light operational model with limited need for significant reinvestment in productive assets.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS stood at HKD 0.0132, demonstrating modest earnings power relative to the substantial share count. The company maintains efficient capital deployment with operating cash flow covering capital expenditures by more than 20 times. This indicates strong free cash flow generation capability despite the relatively small scale of operations in the competitive electric tools market.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

SMC maintains a robust balance sheet with HKD 90.4 million in cash and equivalents against minimal total debt of HKD 7.0 million, resulting in a net cash position. This conservative financial structure provides significant liquidity and financial flexibility. The low debt level indicates minimal financial risk and capacity to withstand market downturns or pursue strategic opportunities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company demonstrates a shareholder-friendly approach with a dividend per share of HKD 0.01, representing a payout ratio of approximately 76% based on EPS. This indicates a commitment to returning capital to shareholders despite the company's smaller scale. The dividend yield must be evaluated in context of the current share price and the company's growth prospects in the competitive North American electric tools market.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of HKD 310 million, the company trades at approximately 1.2 times revenue and 11.8 times net income. The low beta of 0.317 suggests the market perceives the stock as defensive with lower volatility than the broader market. This valuation reflects expectations of stable but modest growth in its niche electric tools segment.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

As a subsidiary of Shell Electric Holdings, SMC benefits from corporate support while maintaining focused operations. The company's long-established presence since 1950 provides brand stability and customer relationships in its target markets. The outlook depends on maintaining cost advantages and distribution channels in the competitive North American electric tools sector, where scale advantages of larger competitors present ongoing challenges.

Sources

Company filingsHong Kong Stock Exchange disclosuresFinancial data providers

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

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