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Intrinsic ValueNanshan Aluminium Intrnatnl Holdings Ltd (2610.HK)

Previous CloseHK$64.70
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$64.70

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Nanshan Aluminium International Holdings Limited operates as a specialized alumina producer within the basic materials sector, focusing on the upstream segment of the aluminium value chain. The company's core revenue model centers on the production and sale of alumina and aluminium hydroxide to aluminium producers and commodity traders across Southeast Asia. As a subsidiary of Nanshan Aluminium Investment Holding Limited, the company leverages its strategic location in Indonesia's Bintan region to serve regional manufacturing needs for electrolytic aluminium production. The company maintains a focused market position as a dedicated supplier to industrial customers rather than engaging in direct consumer markets. This business model emphasizes operational efficiency in alumina processing while maintaining strong relationships with downstream aluminium manufacturers who require consistent, high-quality raw materials for their production processes. The company's market positioning reflects the specialized nature of intermediate goods production within global supply chains, where reliability and consistent quality are critical competitive factors.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated HKD 1.02 billion in revenue with strong profitability, achieving a net income margin of approximately 39.4%. Operating cash flow of HKD 96.3 million indicates solid cash generation from core operations, though capital expenditures of HKD 74.6 million suggest ongoing investment in production capabilities. The high net income margin reflects efficient cost management in alumina production operations.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

With diluted EPS of HKD 0.68 and robust net income of HKD 401.8 million, the company demonstrates substantial earnings power relative to its revenue base. The minimal capital expenditure requirements compared to operating cash flow generation indicate high capital efficiency. The company's focused production model appears to generate strong returns on invested capital in its specialized alumina segment.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains an exceptionally strong balance sheet with HKD 454.2 million in cash and equivalents against negligible total debt of only HKD 214,000. This virtually debt-free position, combined with substantial cash reserves, provides significant financial flexibility and indicates minimal financial risk. The balance sheet structure supports both operational needs and potential strategic initiatives.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company demonstrates a shareholder-friendly approach through its substantial dividend distribution of HKD 0.65 per share, representing a high payout ratio relative to earnings. This dividend policy suggests management's confidence in sustainable cash generation capabilities. The capital allocation strategy appears balanced between rewarding shareholders and maintaining operational investment requirements.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately HKD 25.4 billion, the company trades at a significant premium to book value, reflecting market expectations for continued strong performance in the alumina sector. The high beta of 1.78 indicates substantial sensitivity to market movements and commodity cycle fluctuations, suggesting investors price in both growth potential and cyclical risks.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company benefits from its strategic positioning within the Nanshan Group ecosystem and specialized focus on alumina production. Its Southeast Asian operational base provides geographic advantages in serving regional aluminium manufacturers. The strong financial position enables resilience during industry cycles while supporting potential expansion opportunities in the growing Asian aluminium market.

Sources

Company filingsHong Kong Stock Exchange disclosuresFinancial statements

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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