investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueChina Overseas Property Holdings Limited (2669.HK)

Previous CloseHK$4.35
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$4.35

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

China Overseas Property Holdings Limited is a leading integrated property management service provider operating primarily in Hong Kong, Macau, and Mainland China. The company's core revenue model is built on delivering comprehensive property management services to mid-to-high-end residential communities, commercial properties, and government assets, supplemented by value-added services and parking space trading operations. Its service portfolio encompasses security, maintenance, cleaning, and landscaping, creating a diversified income stream through long-term contracts that provide stable recurring revenue. As a subsidiary of China Overseas Holdings Limited, the company benefits from strong sector connections and a reputable brand name in the competitive real estate services market. The firm has strategically positioned itself to capitalize on China's growing property management sector, leveraging its extensive experience since 1986 to establish trust and operational excellence. Its market position is strengthened by its ability to offer engineering consulting, pre-delivery services, and community asset management, creating a comprehensive service ecosystem that differentiates it from basic service providers. The company's focus on technology integration through online-to-offline platforms and IT services demonstrates its adaptation to modern property management demands, enhancing efficiency and customer engagement while expanding its service capabilities beyond traditional boundaries.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated HKD 14.9 billion in revenue with net income of HKD 1.6 billion, demonstrating solid profitability with a net margin of approximately 10.8%. Operating cash flow of HKD 1.3 billion indicates healthy cash generation from core operations, supporting the company's service delivery model and strategic investments in technology and service expansion.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

With diluted EPS of HKD 0.49 and minimal capital expenditures of HKD 57.8 million, the business exhibits strong earnings power relative to its asset-light operational model. The company efficiently converts operational performance into shareholder returns while maintaining low reinvestment requirements characteristic of property management services.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet reflects exceptional financial health with HKD 5.8 billion in cash and equivalents against minimal total debt of HKD 172 million. This conservative capital structure provides significant liquidity and financial flexibility, positioning the company to navigate market cycles and pursue strategic opportunities without leverage constraints.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintains a shareholder-friendly dividend policy, distributing HKD 0.18 per share while retaining earnings for organic growth and service diversification. Its stable revenue base from property management contracts provides predictable cash flows supporting consistent dividend distributions and measured expansion initiatives.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a market capitalization of HKD 17.1 billion, the market values the company at approximately 11.4 times revenue and 10.6 times net income. The beta of 0.966 suggests market expectations of moderate volatility relative to the broader market, reflecting the defensive characteristics of property management services.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantages include its established market presence, diversified service portfolio, and affiliation with China Overseas Holdings. The outlook remains positive given the growing property management sector in China, though dependent on real estate market conditions and the company's ability to maintain service quality and expand its value-added offerings.

Sources

Company annual reportHong Kong Stock Exchange filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount