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Intrinsic ValueBeijing Capital Land Ltd. (2868.HK)

Previous CloseHK$0.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$0.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2020 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Beijing Capital Land Ltd. is a prominent real estate developer and investor operating primarily within the People's Republic of China, with a strategic focus on the Beijing region. Its core revenue model is centered on the development and sale of residential and office properties, complemented by land development activities. The company also generates recurring income streams through its portfolio of commercial real estate holdings, which it operates, leases, and manages, providing property consulting and management services. As a subsidiary of the state-affiliated Beijing Capital Group Co., Ltd., the company benefits from a strong backing and established presence in its key markets. Its significant land bank, totaling 16.61 million square meters as of the previous year-end, provides a substantial pipeline for future development projects and underscores its capacity for sustained operations. This positions it as a significant player in the competitive Chinese real estate sector, leveraging its scale and integrated service offerings.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY2020, the company reported robust revenue of HKD 21.25 billion, demonstrating its significant scale in property development and sales. Net income was HKD 1.27 billion, resulting in a net profit margin of approximately 6.0%. Strong operating cash flow of HKD 7.22 billion indicates effective conversion of property sales into cash, supporting ongoing operational needs.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company generated diluted earnings per share of HKD 0.42 for the period. Capital expenditures of HKD -1.11 billion reflect significant investment in new property development projects and land acquisitions, which is typical for a growing real estate developer building its future inventory.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows a substantial cash position of HKD 35.65 billion, providing ample liquidity. However, this is offset by a high total debt load of HKD 96.22 billion, which is characteristic of capital-intensive real estate operations that utilize leverage for land banking and development financing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintained a shareholder returns policy, distributing a dividend of HKD 2.77 per share. Its extensive land bank of 16.61 million square meters provides a clear pipeline for future revenue growth, though this is contingent on successful project execution and favorable market conditions in the Chinese real estate sector.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Market data indicates a beta of 0.84, suggesting the stock's volatility is moderately aligned with the broader market. Specific valuation multiples are unavailable from the provided data, requiring further analysis of the share price and peer comparisons for a complete assessment.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its affiliation with Beijing Capital Group, providing potential access to resources and projects. Its integrated model combining development with property management offers diversified revenue. The outlook is tied to the health of the Chinese real estate market and the company's ability to manage its debt while executing its development pipeline.

Sources

Company Annual Report (FY2020)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

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