investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueFerrari N.V. (2FE.DE)

Previous Close280.70
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
280.70

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Ferrari N.V. is a globally recognized luxury automotive manufacturer specializing in high-performance sports cars, GT vehicles, and limited-edition hypercars. The company operates in the premium segment of the auto industry, leveraging its iconic brand to command premium pricing and exclusivity. Beyond vehicle production, Ferrari diversifies revenue through licensing agreements, theme parks, apparel, and after-sales services, reinforcing its status as a lifestyle brand. Its market position is reinforced by a meticulously controlled supply chain, ensuring scarcity and maintaining high resale values. Ferrari’s direct-to-consumer approach, including owned and franchised retail stores, enhances brand loyalty and customer engagement. The company’s participation in Formula 1 racing further amplifies its prestige, serving as a technological showcase and marketing platform. With a global network of authorized dealers and a strong digital presence, Ferrari maintains a dominant position in the ultra-luxury automotive sector, appealing to high-net-worth individuals and collectors.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Ferrari reported revenue of €6.68 billion in the latest fiscal year, with net income reaching €1.52 billion, reflecting a robust 22.8% net margin. The company’s operating cash flow stood at €1.93 billion, supported by disciplined cost management and high-margin product sales. Capital expenditures of €482 million indicate ongoing investments in innovation and production capacity, aligning with its growth strategy.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Ferrari’s diluted EPS of €8.46 underscores its strong earnings power, driven by premium pricing and operational efficiency. The company’s capital-light licensing and brand extension activities contribute to high returns on invested capital, while its core automotive business benefits from low-volume, high-margin production. This dual approach ensures sustained profitability and capital efficiency.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Ferrari maintains a solid balance sheet with €1.74 billion in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity for strategic initiatives. Total debt of €3.35 billion is manageable given its strong cash flow generation. The company’s financial health is further supported by its ability to fund growth while maintaining shareholder returns, including a dividend payout of €2.986 per share.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Ferrari’s growth is driven by new model launches, geographic expansion, and brand extensions. The company has consistently increased dividends, reflecting confidence in its cash flow stability. Limited production volumes and high demand ensure pricing power, while investments in electrification and hybrid technologies position it for future regulatory and consumer trends.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of €75.1 billion and a beta of 0.687, Ferrari is valued as a premium, low-volatility asset. Investors price in sustained brand strength and margin resilience, supported by its unique market position. The stock’s valuation reflects expectations of steady growth and high barriers to entry in the luxury automotive segment.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Ferrari’s strategic advantages include its unrivaled brand equity, exclusivity-driven business model, and technological leadership in high-performance vehicles. The company is well-positioned to navigate industry shifts toward electrification while maintaining its luxury appeal. Long-term growth prospects remain strong, supported by global demand for luxury goods and strategic investments in innovation and brand expansion.

Sources

Company filings, investor presentations, and market data.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount