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Intrinsic ValueChengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (300019.SZ)

Previous Close$22.29
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$22.29

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology operates as a specialized chemical company focused on the research, development, manufacturing, and sale of organic silicone-based products. The company's core revenue model centers on producing and distributing a diverse portfolio of high-performance sealants, adhesives, and silane coupling agents. These products serve critical functions across multiple industrial and construction sectors, including curtain wall systems, insulating glass, automotive lighting, solar energy modules, and infrastructure anti-corrosion applications. The company has established a distinct market position by offering integrated solutions that combine product supply with technical consultation and specialized contracting services for complex industrial applications. Its operations are deeply embedded within China's manufacturing and construction ecosystems, leveraging technical expertise to address specific customer needs in demanding environments. This focus on application-specific solutions, rather than commodity chemicals, allows Chengdu Guibao to maintain competitive differentiation. The company's involvement in the entire value chain—from R&D to on-site implementation—strengthens its customer relationships and provides multiple revenue streams. Its specialization in silicone chemistry for construction, industrial, and emerging energy sectors positions it as a niche player with technical capabilities that support premium pricing and customer retention in China's competitive specialty chemicals landscape.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year ending December 2024, Chengdu Guibao reported revenue of approximately CNY 3.16 billion with net income of CNY 237.5 million, translating to a net margin of roughly 7.5%. The company demonstrated solid cash generation with operating cash flow of CNY 483.8 million, significantly exceeding net income and indicating healthy earnings quality. Capital expenditures of CNY 169 million suggest ongoing investment in production capacity and technological capabilities.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company delivered diluted earnings per share of CNY 0.61, reflecting its earnings capacity relative to its equity base. Operating cash flow substantially covered capital expenditures by nearly three times, indicating strong internal funding capability for growth initiatives. This cash flow generation supports both reinvestment in the business and returns to shareholders through the dividend program.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Chengdu Guibao maintains a conservative financial structure with cash and equivalents of CNY 932.2 million against total debt of CNY 251.7 million, resulting in a robust net cash position. This strong liquidity profile provides significant financial flexibility and resilience. The low debt level relative to cash reserves indicates minimal financial risk and capacity to withstand industry cyclicality.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has implemented a shareholder return policy, distributing a dividend of CNY 0.30 per share. This represents a payout ratio of approximately 49% of diluted EPS, balancing capital retention for growth with direct shareholder returns. The dividend policy reflects management's confidence in sustainable earnings and cash flow generation capabilities.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 8.76 billion, the company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of around 37 based on trailing earnings. The beta of 0.725 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, potentially reflecting the company's established market position and stable business model within the specialty chemicals sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Chengdu Guibao's strategic position is strengthened by its technical expertise in silicone chemistry and integrated service model. The company's focus on application-specific solutions across construction, automotive, and renewable energy sectors provides diversification benefits. Its strong balance sheet positions it well to capitalize on growth opportunities in China's industrial and infrastructure development while navigating market cycles.

Sources

Company financial statementsShenzhen Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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