investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueGuangxi Bossco Environmental Protection Technology Co.,Ltd. (300422.SZ)

Previous Close$4.96
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$4.96

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Guangxi Bossco Environmental Protection Technology operates as a comprehensive environmental solutions provider in China's growing waste management and ecological services sector. The company generates revenue through a diversified portfolio of industrial and municipal environmental services, including specialized waste gas treatment, water pollution management, and clean production technology equipment supply. Its operations span multiple environmental domains, from urban black odor water treatment and sewage system projects to ecological restoration services for farmland, mines, and industrial sites. The company has established a niche position by offering integrated solutions that address China's pressing environmental challenges, particularly in water management and industrial waste treatment. This multifaceted approach allows Bossco to serve both municipal clients and industrial enterprises across various regions. The company also engages in solid waste disposal, hazardous waste treatment, and is exploring new energy development services, positioning itself at the intersection of traditional environmental protection and emerging sustainability trends. Through its technology exports and comprehensive service offerings, Bossco competes in China's fragmented but rapidly consolidating environmental protection market, where regulatory enforcement and public awareness continue to drive demand for professional environmental services.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of approximately CNY 1.59 billion for the period, demonstrating its substantial operational scale within China's environmental services market. However, profitability remains challenged with a significant net loss of CNY 865 million and negative diluted EPS of CNY -1.67. Operating cash flow generation was positive at CNY 337 million, indicating some underlying operational efficiency despite the reported losses. Capital expenditures were modest at CNY 57.5 million, suggesting a focus on maintaining existing operations rather than aggressive expansion.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Current earnings power appears constrained by the substantial net loss position, though the positive operating cash flow suggests some cash-generating capability from core operations. The company's ability to convert revenue into sustainable profits remains a key challenge, with the significant loss indicating potential issues with cost structure, project profitability, or asset efficiency. The modest capital expenditure level relative to revenue base may reflect a strategic pause or optimization phase in the capital allocation strategy.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows a constrained financial position with cash and equivalents of CNY 214 million against total debt of CNY 3.13 billion, indicating significant leverage. This debt burden likely contributes to the company's financial challenges, with the high debt-to-cash ratio suggesting potential liquidity pressures. The substantial debt load relative to the company's market capitalization of CNY 2.75 billion highlights balance sheet stress that may require restructuring or refinancing solutions.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintains a zero dividend policy, consistent with its loss-making position and focus on preserving capital. Growth trends appear challenged given the current financial performance, though the underlying revenue base suggests maintained operational activity. The environmental protection sector in China continues to experience regulatory-driven demand, but the company's ability to capitalize on growth opportunities may be constrained by its financial condition until profitability is restored.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 2.75 billion, the market appears to be valuing the company's assets and potential recovery prospects rather than current earnings power. The beta of 0.537 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, possibly reflecting the defensive nature of environmental services. The negative earnings multiple is not meaningful given the loss position, with valuation likely driven by asset value and sector positioning considerations.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its comprehensive service portfolio and established presence in China's environmental protection sector. However, the outlook is clouded by significant financial challenges that require resolution. Success will depend on the company's ability to restore profitability, manage its substantial debt burden, and effectively compete in China's increasingly competitive environmental services market. Regulatory support for environmental protection provides a favorable backdrop, but operational execution and financial restructuring will be critical determinants of future performance.

Sources

Company financial reportingStock exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount