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Intrinsic ValueZhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (300702.SZ)

Previous Close$26.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$26.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Zhejiang Tianyu Pharmaceutical operates as a specialized pharmaceutical manufacturer focused on the development and production of active pharmaceutical ingredients (APIs) and pharmaceutical intermediates. The company has established a diversified portfolio targeting therapeutic areas including cardiovascular diseases, diabetes, atherosclerosis, anticoagulation, and asthma. Its core revenue model combines the sale of standardized chemical compounds with contract manufacturing organization (CMO) services for pharmaceutical clients, positioning it within the essential pharmaceutical supply chain. Operating from its base in Taizhou, China, since 1993, Tianyu serves both domestic and international markets, leveraging China's manufacturing infrastructure while navigating global regulatory requirements. The company occupies a niche position in the competitive generic and specialty pharmaceutical ingredients sector, where scale, technical expertise, and regulatory compliance are critical differentiators. Its focus on intermediates and APIs places it upstream from finished dosage form manufacturers, creating dependencies on both innovation pipelines and cost pressures within the broader pharmaceutical industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the fiscal year, the company reported revenue of CNY 2.63 billion, achieving a net income of CNY 55.9 million. This translates to a net profit margin of approximately 2.1%, indicating relatively thin profitability in the period. The diluted earnings per share stood at CNY 0.16. Operating cash flow was positive at CNY 344.6 million, significantly exceeding net income, which suggests non-cash charges impacted profitability while core cash generation remained healthier.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrated solid operating cash flow generation of CNY 344.6 million, which comfortably covered capital expenditures of CNY 168.9 million. This indicates the business is self-funding its investments in property, plant, and equipment. The relationship between operating cash flow and net income points to adequate earnings quality, though the modest net income figure relative to revenue highlights potential margin pressures or high operating costs inherent in its capital-intensive manufacturing model.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Tianyu's financial position shows a cash balance of CNY 592.9 million against total debt of CNY 1.74 billion, indicating a leveraged capital structure. The significant debt load relative to cash reserves warrants attention, though the positive operating cash flow provides a basis for servicing obligations. The balance sheet reflects the capital requirements of a manufacturing-oriented business, with financial health dependent on maintaining stable cash flows to manage leverage.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintained a dividend distribution policy, declaring a dividend per share of CNY 0.05. This payout represents a portion of the earnings, signaling a commitment to shareholder returns despite the modest net income level. Assessing growth trends requires multi-year data, but the current revenue base suggests the company is of a significant scale within its specialized pharmaceutical niche.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 9.29 billion, the market values the company at a significant multiple relative to its current earnings, implying expectations for future growth or profitability improvement. The beta of 1.26 indicates the stock has exhibited higher volatility than the broader market, reflecting sector-specific risks and investor sentiment towards pharmaceutical suppliers. The valuation appears to factor in the company's strategic position in the pharmaceutical supply chain.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Tianyu's strategic advantages lie in its long-standing operational history, technical expertise in API synthesis, and established manufacturing capabilities. Its outlook is tied to global demand for generic pharmaceuticals and the outsourcing trends of larger drug manufacturers. Key challenges include navigating raw material cost volatility, regulatory compliance across markets, and intense competition, which collectively impact its ability to improve upon its current margin profile and manage its financial leverage effectively.

Sources

Company FilingsShenzhen Stock Exchange

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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