investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueLuoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co., Ltd. (300850.SZ)

Previous Close$44.82
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$44.82

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Luoyang Xinqianglian Slewing Bearing Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized industrial manufacturer focused on producing large-diameter slewing bearings, which are critical rotational components for heavy machinery. The company serves diverse industrial sectors with its core product portfolio including single-row and double-row tapered roller bearings, triple-row roller bearings for wind turbine applications, and specialized bearings for tunnel boring machines and large-scale construction equipment. Its strategic positioning leverages China's infrastructure development and renewable energy expansion, particularly through wind power generation systems where its yaw and pitch bearings are essential components. The company has expanded beyond traditional manufacturing into photovoltaic and wind power project development, creating an integrated business model that combines component supply with energy project participation. This dual approach provides revenue diversification while maintaining its foundational expertise in precision metal fabrication for industrial applications requiring high-load rotational capabilities.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated revenue of CNY 2.95 billion for the fiscal period, demonstrating its established market presence in industrial components. Net income of CNY 65.4 million indicates modest profitability margins within the competitive manufacturing sector. Operating cash flow of CNY 443.7 million provides positive liquidity generation, though significant capital expenditures of CNY 729.2 million reflect ongoing investments in production capacity and technological upgrades necessary for maintaining competitive positioning in precision bearing manufacturing.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted earnings per share of CNY 0.18 reflects the company's current earnings capacity relative to its equity base. The substantial capital expenditure program, which exceeded operating cash flow, indicates a growth-oriented investment strategy rather than immediate capital returns. This suggests the company is prioritizing capacity expansion and technological advancement over short-term profitability maximization, aligning with long-term industrial manufacturing requirements.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains CNY 536.2 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of CNY 2.55 billion, indicating a leveraged financial structure common in capital-intensive manufacturing. This debt level supports the significant fixed asset investments required for slewing bearing production facilities. The balance sheet structure reflects the company's growth financing strategy through debt instruments while maintaining operational liquidity for ongoing business requirements.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Despite substantial capital investments, the company maintained a dividend distribution of CNY 0.092 per share, demonstrating commitment to shareholder returns. The growth trajectory appears focused on capacity expansion and market penetration, particularly in renewable energy applications. The dividend policy balances reinvestment needs with income distribution, suggesting a hybrid approach to capital allocation that supports both growth objectives and investor expectations.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 13.4 billion, the company trades at significant multiples relative to current earnings, reflecting market expectations for future growth in renewable energy and infrastructure sectors. The low beta of 0.172 suggests relative insulation from broader market volatility, potentially indicating investor perception of stable demand fundamentals for its industrial components despite economic cycles.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its specialized expertise in large-diameter bearing manufacturing, particularly for wind energy applications where technical barriers create competitive moats. The outlook remains tied to China's renewable energy infrastructure development and global wind power expansion. Success will depend on maintaining technological leadership, managing capital expenditure efficiency, and effectively integrating its energy project initiatives with core manufacturing operations to capture value across the supply chain.

Sources

Company filingsMarket data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount