investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueJiangxi Everbright Measurement And Control Technology Co.,Ltd. (300906.SZ)

Previous Close$34.53
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$34.53

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Jiangxi Everbright Measurement And Control Technology operates as a specialized technology provider within China's critical railway infrastructure sector. The company's core business focuses on the research, development, production, and sale of track safety measurement and control equipment, serving the extensive and strategically important national railway network. This positioning aligns with China's ongoing infrastructure development priorities and stringent safety requirements for transportation systems. As a subsidiary of Jiangxi Everbright Industry Co., Ltd., the company benefits from established industrial relationships and sector-specific expertise. Its specialized product portfolio addresses essential safety monitoring needs for railway operators, creating a niche market position with high technical barriers to entry. The company's operations are deeply integrated with national railway maintenance and safety protocols, providing recurring revenue streams through equipment sales and potential service contracts. This sector-specific focus differentiates it from broader industrial measurement companies and creates dependency on domestic railway investment cycles. The technological sophistication required for railway safety systems provides some insulation from general competition, though the company remains subject to procurement patterns of major state-owned railway enterprises.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company demonstrated strong profitability in the fiscal year, generating approximately CNY 160.7 million in revenue with net income of CNY 75.3 million, representing a robust net margin of nearly 47%. This exceptional profitability suggests highly specialized products with significant value-added components or potentially favorable contract terms. Operating cash flow of CNY 65.7 million substantially exceeded capital expenditures of CNY 8.5 million, indicating efficient conversion of earnings into cash and limited requirement for heavy reinvestment in fixed assets.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted earnings per share stood at CNY 0.94, reflecting substantial earnings power relative to the company's market capitalization. The minimal capital expenditure requirement compared to operating cash flow generation points to capital-light operations, which is characteristic of technology-focused businesses with established production capabilities. This efficient capital structure allows for strong returns on invested capital and supports the company's ability to maintain significant cash reserves while funding ongoing research and development activities.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains an exceptionally strong balance sheet with cash and equivalents of CNY 739.7 million against minimal total debt of approximately CNY 12.5 million. This substantial net cash position provides significant financial flexibility and insulation from market volatility. The debt-to-equity ratio appears negligible, indicating conservative financial management and capacity for strategic investments or weathering potential industry downturns without liquidity concerns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has established a shareholder return policy, evidenced by a dividend per share of CNY 0.5, representing a payout ratio of approximately 53% based on diluted EPS. This balanced approach returns capital to shareholders while retaining earnings for future growth initiatives. The company's growth trajectory is inherently tied to China's railway infrastructure investment cycles and technological upgrade requirements for safety systems.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 2.52 billion, the company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of around 33.5 times trailing earnings, suggesting market expectations for continued growth and premium valuation for its specialized niche. The beta of 0.494 indicates lower volatility compared to the broader market, potentially reflecting the company's stable, infrastructure-linked business model and strong balance sheet fundamentals.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic position within China's railway safety ecosystem provides durable advantages through technical specialization and established customer relationships. Future prospects depend on continued railway infrastructure investment and technological modernization initiatives by Chinese authorities. The company's strong cash position provides flexibility to pursue organic growth or strategic acquisitions, while its niche focus offers protection from broader competitive pressures, though concentration risk remains a consideration.

Sources

Company filingsShenzhen Stock Exchange data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount