investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueZhejiang Cayi Vacuum Container Co., Ltd. (301004.SZ)

Previous Close$48.59
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$48.59

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Zhejiang Cayi Vacuum Container Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized manufacturer within the consumer goods packaging sector, focusing on premium stainless steel vacuum-insulated containers. The company's core revenue model centers on designing, manufacturing, and distributing a diverse portfolio of drinkware and food storage products, including water bottles, tumblers, travel mugs, and vacuum flasks. This positions Cayi Vacuum within the broader consumer cyclical industry, catering to demand for durable, portable, and temperature-retentive products for daily use and outdoor activities. Its market position is strengthened by a dual-channel approach, serving both domestic Chinese consumers and a growing international clientele across the Americas, Europe, and East Asia. The company leverages its manufacturing expertise in Zhejiang, a major industrial hub, to maintain cost efficiency while emphasizing product quality and functionality. This export-oriented strategy diversifies its revenue streams and reduces reliance on any single geographic market, providing a competitive edge in the global housewares segment against both local and international brands.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2024, the company reported robust revenue of CNY 2.84 billion, demonstrating strong market demand for its product lines. Profitability was exceptional, with net income reaching CNY 733 million, translating to a high net profit margin of approximately 25.8%. Operating cash flow generation was healthy at CNY 497 million, although significant capital expenditures of CNY 461 million indicate substantial ongoing investments in production capacity and operational infrastructure.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Cayi Vacuum exhibits substantial earnings power, as evidenced by its diluted EPS of CNY 5.09. The company's capital allocation strategy appears focused on reinvestment, with capital expenditures nearly matching its operating cash flow. This suggests a commitment to expanding manufacturing capabilities and potentially automating processes to sustain growth and maintain its competitive cost structure in the container manufacturing industry.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a solid balance sheet with cash and equivalents of CNY 654 million. Total debt stands at CNY 367 million, indicating a conservative leverage profile and strong liquidity. This financial structure provides ample flexibility to fund future growth initiatives, weather economic cycles, and potentially pursue strategic opportunities without straining its financial resources.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated a shareholder-friendly approach through its dividend policy, distributing CNY 2.14 per share. The combination of a meaningful dividend and significant capital reinvestment reflects a balanced strategy aimed at rewarding investors while simultaneously funding organic expansion. Its established export footprint across multiple continents provides a stable platform for continued growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 8.89 billion, the company's valuation reflects investor confidence in its niche market leadership and profitability. A beta of 0.119 suggests the stock has exhibited low volatility relative to the broader market, which may appeal to investors seeking stable returns from a specialized consumer goods manufacturer.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Cayi Vacuum's strategic advantages include its specialized manufacturing expertise, diversified global customer base, and strong profitability metrics. The outlook appears positive, supported by sustained consumer interest in reusable and premium drinkware. Key challenges will include managing input cost inflation, navigating international trade dynamics, and continuing to innovate its product offerings to maintain relevance in a competitive market.

Sources

Company Filings (SZSE)Market Data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount