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Intrinsic ValueGuangzhou Huayan Precision Machinery Co.,Ltd. (301138.SZ)

Previous Close$39.95
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$39.95

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Guangzhou Huayan Precision Machinery operates as a specialized manufacturer of PET preform systems, serving global packaging markets with integrated solutions. The company's core revenue model centers on designing, producing, and selling precision injection molding machines, robotic automation systems, and custom valve-gated hot-runner molds for plastic container manufacturing. Its comprehensive product portfolio addresses the entire production chain for preforms used across beverage, water, edible oil, food, detergent, and medical packaging sectors. Operating within the industrial machinery sector's metal fabrication segment, Huayan leverages technical expertise to deliver turnkey systems that enhance production efficiency for packaging converters worldwide. The company maintains a niche position as a technology-focused supplier, competing through engineering precision and system integration capabilities rather than pure scale. Its market positioning targets mid-to-high-end customers requiring reliable, automated solutions for mass production environments. Founded in 2002 and headquartered in Guangzhou's industrial hub, the company benefits from China's manufacturing ecosystem while serving international markets. This strategic focus on specialized machinery rather than commodity equipment provides insulation from broader industrial cyclicality.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY2024, the company generated CNY 645.8 million in revenue with net income of CNY 101.3 million, representing a healthy net margin of approximately 15.7%. Operating cash flow stood at CNY 116.6 million, significantly exceeding net income and indicating strong cash conversion efficiency. Capital expenditures of CNY 62.2 million suggest ongoing investment in production capacity and technological upgrades to maintain competitive positioning in the precision machinery market.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrated solid earnings power with diluted EPS of CNY 0.84, supported by efficient operations and specialized product offerings. Operating cash flow coverage of capital expenditures appears robust at nearly 1.9 times, indicating sufficient internal funding for growth investments. The business model generates adequate returns without requiring substantial leverage, as evidenced by the strong cash flow generation relative to its asset base and market capitalization.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Huayan maintains a conservative financial structure with CNY 400.8 million in cash and equivalents against minimal total debt of CNY 22.8 million, resulting in a net cash position that provides significant financial flexibility. The substantial cash reserves relative to the company's scale suggest prudent liquidity management and capacity to weather industry downturns or pursue strategic opportunities without external financing requirements.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

While specific growth rates are unavailable, the company maintains a shareholder-friendly dividend policy, distributing CNY 0.10 per share. This represents a payout ratio of approximately 12% based on FY2024 EPS, balancing capital return with retention for reinvestment. The sustainable dividend level alongside maintained capital expenditure programs indicates management's confidence in ongoing cash generation capabilities and future growth prospects.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of CNY 4.56 billion, the company trades at approximately 7.1 times trailing revenue and 45 times earnings based on FY2024 results. The beta of 1.172 indicates moderate volatility relative to the broader market. This valuation multiple reflects market expectations for continued specialization in precision machinery and potential international expansion within the packaging equipment sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantages stem from its integrated product offerings and technical expertise in PET preform systems. Its focus on automation and precision components positions it well for packaging industry trends toward efficiency and customization. The outlook appears stable given its niche market position and financial strength, though dependent on global packaging investment cycles and competitive dynamics in industrial machinery manufacturing.

Sources

Company description and financial data providedShenzhen Stock Exchange filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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