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Intrinsic ValueZhejiang Huayuan Auto Technology Co Ltd (301535.SZ)

Previous Close$25.75
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$25.75

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Zhejiang Huayuan Auto Technology operates as a specialized manufacturer of automotive fasteners and precision components within China's expansive automotive supply chain. The company's core revenue model centers on the research, development, production, and sale of a diverse portfolio of fastening solutions, including U-shaped nuts, blind rivets, weld nuts, positioning pins, and various specialized assemblies. These products are essential for vehicle assembly, serving both traditional internal combustion engine vehicles and emerging electric vehicle platforms. Operating from its base in Wenzhou, a recognized manufacturing hub, the company functions as a critical Tier 2 or Tier 3 supplier, providing components that ensure structural integrity, safety, and reliability in final automotive products. Its market position is inherently linked to the health of the Chinese automotive industry, requiring deep technical expertise in metallurgy and precision engineering to meet stringent automotive quality standards. The company's subsidiary relationship with Wenzhou Chenxi Investment Management Partnership suggests a structured ownership framework, while its focus on a niche but essential product category positions it as a specialized player dependent on automotive production volumes and manufacturer relationships.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2024, the company reported revenue of CNY 681.7 million, achieving a net income of CNY 107.3 million, which indicates a robust net profit margin of approximately 15.7%. This level of profitability is notable within the competitive auto parts sector. However, operating cash flow of CNY 44.9 million was significantly lower than net income, suggesting potential working capital intensity or timing differences in receivables. Capital expenditures of CNY 19.8 million were moderate, indicating a maintenance-level investment in its production capabilities.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrated solid earnings power with diluted earnings per share of CNY 0.30. The disparity between net income and operating cash flow warrants attention for assessing the quality of earnings and the cash conversion cycle. The capital expenditure level, being lower than operating cash flow, suggests the company is generating free cash flow, which is a positive indicator of capital efficiency for a manufacturing entity at its current scale.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Zhejiang Huayuan maintains a strong liquidity position with cash and equivalents of CNY 350.1 million, which substantially exceeds its total debt of CNY 156.5 million. This results in a net cash position, providing a significant buffer against industry cyclicality and operational downturns. The conservative balance sheet structure underscores financial stability and low immediate solvency risk, which is advantageous in the capital-intensive automotive sector.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has established a shareholder return policy, evidenced by a dividend per share of CNY 0.118 for the fiscal year. This payout represents a dividend yield based on the current market capitalization, signaling a commitment to returning capital to investors. Future growth is intrinsically tied to the production cycles of its automotive OEM clients and the overall expansion of the Chinese vehicle market, including the transition to electric vehicles.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 1.33 billion, the stock's valuation reflects investor expectations for its niche market role. A beta of 3.04 indicates extremely high volatility relative to the broader market, suggesting that the stock is perceived as highly sensitive to economic cycles and automotive industry trends. This elevated beta points to significant market expectations regarding both risk and potential growth tied to the cyclical auto sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's primary strategic advantage lies in its specialization within the critical but often overlooked fastener segment of auto parts manufacturing. Its deep-rooted presence in China's manufacturing ecosystem provides logistical and cost benefits. The outlook is cautiously tied to the performance of the Chinese automotive industry, with opportunities arising from vehicle electrification requiring new fastening solutions, while risks include intense competition and exposure to economic cycles that dictate automotive production volumes.

Sources

Company Public FilingsShenzhen Stock Exchange

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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