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Intrinsic ValueONLY corporation (3376.T)

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Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
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¥0.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

ONLY Corporation operates in the competitive Japanese apparel manufacturing sector, specializing in men's and women's clothing under its ONLY brand. The company focuses on mid-market fashion, leveraging its long-standing presence since 1976 to maintain brand recognition. Its revenue model relies on direct sales and wholesale distribution, targeting domestic consumers through a mix of retail channels. While the brand has regional familiarity, it faces intense competition from both fast-fashion giants and niche designers, limiting pricing power. The company’s Kyoto headquarters situates it within Japan’s traditional textile hub, but its market share remains modest compared to industry leaders. ONLY’s challenge lies in differentiating its offerings amid shifting consumer preferences and digital retail trends.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

ONLY Corporation reported revenue of JPY 4.68 billion for FY2021, but net income was negative at JPY -32.2 million, reflecting margin pressures. Operating cash flow of JPY 476.7 million suggests some operational resilience, though capital expenditures of JPY -123.8 million indicate restrained reinvestment. The diluted EPS of JPY -6.33 underscores profitability challenges, likely tied to competitive or cost-related headwinds.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s negative net income and EPS highlight weak earnings power in the period. Operating cash flow coverage of capital expenditures (3.85x) suggests manageable reinvestment needs, but the lack of net profitability raises questions about sustainable capital allocation. The absence of ROE or ROA data limits deeper efficiency analysis.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

ONLY holds JPY 3.08 billion in cash against JPY 1.14 billion in total debt, indicating a conservative leverage position. The liquidity buffer provides flexibility, though the debt-to-equity ratio is unclear. The balance sheet appears stable, but persistent losses could erode equity if unaddressed.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The dividend payout of JPY 7 per share contrasts with negative earnings, suggesting a commitment to shareholders despite profitability challenges. Revenue trends are undisclosed, but the net loss implies stagnant or declining growth. The dividend sustainability depends on cash reserves or improved earnings.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap near zero and negative earnings, the stock likely trades at distressed multiples. Investors may price in turnaround potential or asset value, but the lack of profitability metrics complicates traditional valuation.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

ONLY’s longevity and brand heritage offer a foundation, but its outlook hinges on reversing profitability trends. Strategic shifts—such as digital expansion or cost optimization—could improve margins, though sector competition remains a headwind. The company’s cash position provides a runway for restructuring.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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