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Intrinsic Value of Ashimori Industry Co., Ltd. (3526.T)

Previous Close¥2,837.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥2,837.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Ashimori Industry Co., Ltd. operates as a diversified manufacturer specializing in automotive safety systems and industrial materials, serving both domestic and international markets. The company's core revenue streams derive from automotive components such as seat belts, airbags, and steering wheels, alongside industrial products like fire hoses, safety harnesses, and pipeline rehabilitation systems. Its long-standing expertise in textile and rubber-based manufacturing underpins its competitive edge in reliability and durability, critical for automotive and disaster prevention applications. Within the Auto-Parts sector, Ashimori holds a niche position as a supplier of safety-critical components, benefiting from Japan's reputation for high-quality automotive manufacturing. The company also leverages its industrial materials segment to diversify revenue, catering to construction, logistics, and infrastructure maintenance markets. This dual focus allows Ashimori to mitigate cyclical risks inherent in the automotive industry while capitalizing on steady demand for industrial and safety equipment. Its historical roots dating back to 1878 lend credibility, though competition from larger global suppliers and pricing pressures remain challenges.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Ashimori reported revenue of JPY 68.4 billion for FY 2024, with net income of JPY 3.2 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 4.7%. Operating cash flow stood at JPY 3.2 billion, though capital expenditures of JPY 1.0 billion indicate moderate reinvestment needs. The company’s profitability metrics suggest efficient cost management, albeit with margins typical of a mid-tier automotive supplier facing input cost volatility.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of JPY 534.65 demonstrates steady earnings power, supported by a diversified product mix. The company’s capital efficiency is adequate, with operating cash flow covering capex by a factor of 3.1x, though higher debt levels (JPY 13.0 billion) relative to cash (JPY 5.3 billion) suggest leveraged operations.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Ashimori’s balance sheet shows JPY 5.3 billion in cash against JPY 13.0 billion in total debt, indicating a net debt position of JPY 7.7 billion. The debt load is manageable given stable cash flows, but liquidity could be constrained in downturns. The company’s beta of 0.46 reflects lower volatility relative to the market, typical for industrial suppliers.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth appears modest, aligned with automotive industry cycles, though diversification into industrial materials provides stability. The dividend per share of JPY 100 implies a payout ratio of ~18.7% of net income, signaling a conservative but shareholder-friendly policy. Shareholder returns are likely prioritized over aggressive expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of JPY 14.6 billion, Ashimori trades at a P/E of ~4.5x, suggesting undervaluation relative to peers, possibly due to its small size and niche focus. The low beta implies muted market expectations, with investors pricing in limited growth or disruption risks.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Ashimori’s strengths lie in its diversified industrial footprint and legacy expertise in safety-critical manufacturing. However, reliance on automotive demand and competition from global suppliers pose risks. The outlook hinges on maintaining cost discipline and leveraging its niche in pipeline rehabilitation and disaster prevention markets for incremental growth.

Sources

Company filings, Tokyo Stock Exchange data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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