investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueLAC Co., Ltd. (3857.T)

Previous Close¥1,156.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥1,156.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

LAC Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized provider of security solutions and system integration services in Japan, catering to the growing demand for cybersecurity and IT infrastructure resilience. The company’s core revenue model is built around a comprehensive suite of services, including security consulting, system design, integration, and maintenance, alongside proprietary solutions like LAC Falcon, which aggregates and analyzes security logs for threat detection. Positioned in the competitive IT services sector, LAC differentiates itself through its end-to-end security offerings, combining advisory, implementation, and operational support. The firm serves a diverse clientele, leveraging Japan’s stringent regulatory environment and increasing cybersecurity spend. Its market position is reinforced by deep technical expertise and long-standing relationships in the domestic market, though it faces competition from global IT service providers and niche cybersecurity firms. The company’s focus on localized, high-touch services provides a defensible niche, but scalability beyond Japan remains a challenge.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2024, LAC reported revenue of JPY 49.5 billion, with net income of JPY 1.38 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 2.8%. Operating cash flow stood at JPY 2.18 billion, supported by steady service demand, while capital expenditures were modest at JPY -185 million, indicating efficient reinvestment. The company’s profitability metrics suggest a lean operation with room for margin expansion.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

LAC’s diluted EPS of JPY 45.73 underscores its ability to generate earnings despite competitive pressures. The firm’s capital efficiency is evident in its low debt-to-equity profile, with total debt of just JPY 124.7 million against cash reserves of JPY 5.49 billion. This conservative leverage supports financial flexibility but may also indicate underutilized growth capital.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet remains robust, with cash and equivalents covering nearly 44x total debt, highlighting minimal financial risk. Shareholders’ equity is bolstered by retained earnings, though the company’s modest net income growth suggests a focus on stability over aggressive expansion. The absence of significant liabilities positions LAC well for incremental investments or M&A.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been steady but unspectacular, aligning with Japan’s mature IT services market. The dividend payout of JPY 26 per share reflects a commitment to returning capital, though the yield remains modest. Future growth may hinge on expanding high-margin security services or geographic diversification, neither of which is currently a pronounced focus.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of JPY 34.9 billion, LAC trades at a P/E of approximately 25x, pricing in expectations of gradual earnings growth. The low beta of 0.36 suggests limited sensitivity to broader market volatility, consistent with its defensive business model. Investors likely view the stock as a stable, low-growth holding in the IT services space.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

LAC’s strategic advantages lie in its deep domain expertise and entrenched client relationships in Japan’s cybersecurity niche. However, the outlook is tempered by limited scalability and reliance on domestic demand. Success will depend on leveraging its technical reputation to capture higher-value contracts or forging partnerships to expand its service footprint.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount