investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueYamada Servicer Synthetic Office Co.,Ltd (4351.T)

Previous Close¥849.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥849.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Yamada Servicer Synthetic Office Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized servicer in Japan, focusing on the management and collection of purchased and entrusted receivables. The company also offers revitalization and real estate consulting services, along with surveying works, positioning itself as a niche player in Japan’s financial and industrial support sectors. Its core revenue model relies on fee-based income from receivables management and consulting, supplemented by project-based surveying services. The firm’s market position is defined by its localized expertise in distressed debt and real estate solutions, serving clients who require specialized administrative and financial recovery services. While the company operates in a competitive landscape dominated by larger financial service providers, its focus on tailored solutions and regional presence allows it to maintain a stable client base. The company’s rebranding in 1999 from Yamada Sokuryo Sekkei reflects its strategic shift toward integrated financial and real estate servicing, though its scale remains modest compared to industry leaders.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2024, Yamada Servicer reported revenue of JPY 2.29 billion, with net income of JPY 49 million, reflecting thin margins in its fee-driven business model. Operating cash flow stood at JPY 637.4 million, indicating reasonable liquidity generation, though capital expenditures were minimal at JPY -16.5 million, suggesting limited reinvestment in growth initiatives.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of JPY 11.5 underscores modest earnings power relative to its market capitalization. Operating cash flow coverage of net income highlights efficient working capital management, though the low beta (0.088) implies minimal earnings volatility, typical for a niche services firm.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Yamada Servicer holds JPY 917 million in cash against total debt of JPY 2.15 billion, indicating a leveraged balance sheet. The debt-to-equity ratio suggests reliance on borrowing, though operating cash flow provides some cushion for servicing obligations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth appears stagnant, with limited capex and a dividend payout of JPY 10 per share, signaling a focus on shareholder returns over expansion. The lack of significant revenue or profit growth trends aligns with its niche market positioning.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a market cap of JPY 3.78 billion, the stock trades at a P/E multiple reflective of its low-growth profile. The subdued beta suggests market expectations are aligned with its stable but unspectacular performance.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Yamada Servicer’s regional expertise in receivables and real estate services provides a defensible niche, but its small scale and high leverage limit upside. The outlook remains neutral, dependent on Japan’s financial services demand and regulatory environment.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount