investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueSeiko PMC Corporation (4963.T)

Previous Close¥1,069.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥1,069.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Seiko PMC Corporation operates as a specialized chemical producer, focusing on paper-making chemicals and ink resin products. The company serves the paper and board industry with a diverse portfolio, including sizing agents, strength enhancers, and microbial products, catering to newsprint, packaging, and wastewater treatment applications. Its resin products, such as rosin-modified phenolic and acrylic resins, are critical for water-based inks, adhesives, and recording materials, positioning it as a key supplier in niche industrial segments. Seiko PMC leverages its subsidiary relationship with DIC Corporation to enhance its market reach and technological capabilities. The company’s focus on functional chemicals, including biofilm control agents and cellulose nanofiber compounds, underscores its commitment to innovation in sustainable and high-performance materials. While primarily active in Japan, its international presence provides diversification, though it remains a smaller player in the global specialty chemicals market.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2022, Seiko PMC reported revenue of JPY 32.4 billion, with net income of JPY 1.65 billion, reflecting a modest net margin of approximately 5.1%. Operating cash flow stood at JPY 874 million, though capital expenditures of JPY -3.02 billion indicate significant reinvestment needs. The company’s diluted EPS of JPY 54.33 suggests reasonable profitability relative to its market capitalization.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by its niche product offerings, though its capital efficiency appears constrained by high capital expenditures. With a beta of 0.509, Seiko PMC exhibits lower volatility compared to the broader market, suggesting stable but moderate earnings growth potential. Its reliance on industrial demand cycles may limit near-term upside.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Seiko PMC maintains a balanced financial position, with JPY 3.83 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of JPY 6.22 billion. The debt level is manageable given its stable cash flows, though the negative free cash flow due to high capex warrants monitoring. Liquidity appears adequate for near-term obligations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends are likely tied to industrial demand and innovation in specialty chemicals. The company’s dividend payout of JPY 8 per share indicates a conservative but shareholder-friendly policy, with a yield that may appeal to income-focused investors. Expansion in high-value segments like nanomaterials could drive future growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of JPY 32.4 billion, Seiko PMC trades at a P/E ratio of approximately 19.7x, aligning with mid-tier chemical firms. The modest beta suggests muted market expectations, though its niche focus and subsidiary backing provide a floor for valuation.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Seiko PMC’s strategic advantages include its specialized product portfolio and affiliation with DIC Corporation. The outlook hinges on industrial demand recovery and successful innovation in sustainable materials. Challenges include capex intensity and competitive pressures in the global chemicals sector.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount