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Intrinsic ValueOtis Worldwide Corp (4PG.DE)

Previous Close71.82
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
71.82

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Otis Worldwide Corp operates as a global leader in the elevator and escalator industry, specializing in manufacturing, installation, and maintenance services. The company’s business is segmented into New Equipment and Service divisions, with the former focusing on designing and selling elevators, while the latter provides maintenance, repair, and modernization solutions. Otis serves a diverse clientele, including commercial, residential, and infrastructure sectors, leveraging its long-standing reputation for reliability and innovation. The company’s market position is reinforced by its extensive service network and technological advancements, such as energy-efficient solutions and IoT-enabled predictive maintenance. As urbanization and infrastructure development drive demand, Otis benefits from recurring revenue streams through its service segment, which accounts for a significant portion of its earnings. Competitive advantages include brand recognition, a global footprint, and a strong backlog of service contracts, positioning it well against rivals like Schindler and KONE.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2022, Otis reported revenue of €13.69 billion, with net income of €1.25 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 9.2%. The company generated €1.56 billion in operating cash flow, demonstrating robust cash conversion. Capital expenditures were modest at €115 million, indicating efficient asset utilization. The service segment’s recurring revenue model contributes to stable cash flows, while the new equipment segment remains cyclical but tied to long-term infrastructure trends.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Otis delivered diluted EPS of €2.96, supported by disciplined cost management and pricing power in its service business. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to maintain healthy margins despite inflationary pressures. Operating cash flow covered dividend obligations comfortably, underscoring the sustainability of its earnings. Debt levels are manageable relative to cash flows, with interest coverage remaining adequate.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Otis ended FY 2022 with €1.19 billion in cash and equivalents, against total debt of €7.08 billion. The leverage ratio is moderate, supported by strong cash generation. The balance sheet remains investment-grade, with liquidity sufficient to meet near-term obligations. The company’s financial health is further bolstered by its ability to fund growth initiatives and shareholder returns without straining its capital structure.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Otis benefits from secular trends in urbanization and aging elevator fleets, driving demand for modernization and maintenance. The company has consistently returned capital to shareholders, with a dividend payout of €0.92 per share in FY 2022. Growth is underpinned by strategic acquisitions and technological investments, particularly in digital service solutions. The dividend policy reflects a commitment to balanced capital allocation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €38.48 billion and a beta of 0.87, Otis trades at a premium reflective of its stable cash flows and industry leadership. Investors appear to price in steady growth from the service segment and margin resilience. The valuation aligns with peers, considering its mix of cyclical and recurring revenue streams.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Otis’s strategic advantages include its global service network, brand equity, and innovation in smart elevator solutions. The outlook remains positive, supported by urbanization trends and a growing installed base requiring maintenance. Risks include cyclical downturns in new equipment sales and competitive pressures, but the company’s diversified model positions it for sustained performance.

Sources

Company filings, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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