investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueGuizhou Changzheng Tiancheng Holding Co.,Ltd. (600112.SS)

Previous Close$0.73
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.73

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Guizhou Changzheng Tiancheng Holding Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized manufacturer of transformer tap-changers and related electrical components within China's industrial equipment sector. The company generates revenue through the research, development, production, and sale of on-load and off-circuit tap-changers, motor driver mechanisms, intelligent controllers, and oil filtration systems. Its products serve critical infrastructure sectors including electric power transmission, petroleum refining, chemical processing, metallurgy, railway systems, and real estate development. The company maintains a niche market position by providing comprehensive solutions that include pre-sale consultation, rapid technical response, and after-sale services, which creates recurring revenue streams and customer loyalty. With exports reaching approximately 30 countries and regions, the company has established an international footprint while remaining headquartered in Zunyi, China. This global distribution network complements its domestic market presence, though it operates in a highly competitive segment of the electrical equipment industry where technological innovation and reliability are key differentiators.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of CNY 154.5 million for FY 2023 but experienced significant financial challenges with a net loss of CNY 213.0 million. Operating cash flow was negative at CNY -15.9 million, indicating operational inefficiencies and potential working capital management issues. The substantial loss relative to revenue suggests severe margin compression or one-time impairments affecting profitability.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS stood at -CNY 0.42, reflecting the company's inability to generate positive earnings from its operations. Negative operating cash flow combined with modest capital expenditures of CNY -2.5 million indicates constrained investment capacity. The company's capital efficiency appears challenged given the significant losses relative to its revenue base and asset deployment.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows CNY 13.6 million in cash against total debt of CNY 84.4 million, creating a leveraged position with limited liquidity buffers. The debt-to-equity ratio appears elevated given the company's market capitalization of CNY 371.7 million and ongoing operational losses. This financial structure may constrain strategic flexibility and require careful liability management.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

No dividend distribution occurred in FY 2023, consistent with the company's loss-making position and cash flow challenges. The negative financial performance suggests contraction rather than growth, though international exports to 30 countries indicate some market diversification. The company's growth trajectory appears constrained by operational challenges and financial losses.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of CNY 371.7 million and a beta of 0.41, the market appears to price this stock with lower volatility expectations than the broader market. The negative earnings and cash flow metrics suggest investors may be valuing the company based on asset value or turnaround potential rather than current operating performance.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's specialized expertise in transformer tap-changers provides technical differentiation in electrical infrastructure markets. Its international export reach to 30 countries demonstrates global competitiveness, though current financial performance indicates significant operational challenges. The outlook depends on resolving profitability issues while leveraging its niche technology position in power transmission equipment.

Sources

Company financial reportsStock exchange disclosuresCompany description from financial data provider

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045204620472048

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount