investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueXinjiang Yilu Wanyuan Industrial Investment Holding Co., Ltd. (600145.SS)

Previous Close$0.34
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$0.34

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2020 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Xinjiang Yilu Wanyuan Industrial Investment Holding Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized manufacturer and distributor of sanitary ceramics and bathroom products within China's competitive construction and industrials sector. Its core revenue model is derived from the research, development, production, and sale of a comprehensive product portfolio, including toilets, toilet seats, and various hardware and shower fixtures. The company serves both domestic and international markets, positioning itself within the broader building products supply chain. Operating from its base in Guiyang, the firm must navigate intense competition, pricing pressures, and cyclical demand tied to real estate and construction activity. Its market position appears challenged, as evidenced by recent financial performance, suggesting it operates as a smaller, potentially regional player in a fragmented industry dominated by larger, more efficient manufacturers. The 2015 rebranding and shift in corporate identity indicate a strategic evolution, though its current operational focus remains on its established ceramic product lines.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported minimal revenue of CNY 3.46 million against a substantial net loss of CNY 129.26 million for FY 2020, indicating severe operational challenges and negative profitability. Despite generating positive operating cash flow of CNY 34.99 million, this was insufficient to offset the deep losses, pointing to significant inefficiencies and potentially non-cash charges impacting the bottom line.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Earnings power was severely negative, with a diluted EPS of -CNY 0.0867. The positive operating cash flow suggests some underlying cash generation from a drastically reduced operational scale, but capital expenditures were minimal at CNY -2.89 million, reflecting a lack of investment for future growth and potentially a focus on survival rather than expansion.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows a cash position of CNY 32.18 million against reported total debt of zero, suggesting a technically solvent but fragile financial state. The absence of debt is a positive, but the company's viability is critically threatened by its massive operating losses, which rapidly consume its available liquidity.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company's financials indicate a severe contraction, not growth, with revenue representing a fraction of the net loss. Remarkably, a small dividend of CNY 0.0154 per share was distributed, which appears unsustainable given the enormous losses and raises questions about capital allocation priorities during a period of extreme financial distress.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The reported market capitalization of zero, combined with a negative beta, suggests the stock may be severely distressed or delisted. This valuation reflects market expectations of negligible or negative equity value, aligning with the company's reported substantial losses and precarious financial condition.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's outlook is highly uncertain. Its lack of debt provides a minor advantage, but its core business model appears fundamentally challenged. A strategic turnaround would require a drastic improvement in operational efficiency, a viable new growth strategy, or a complete corporate restructuring to create any sustainable value for shareholders.

Sources

Company DescriptionProvided Financial Data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount