investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueZhongmin Energy Co., Ltd. (600163.SS)

Previous Close$5.79
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$5.79

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Zhongmin Energy Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized renewable energy utility company focused on developing, constructing, and operating power generation projects across China. The company's core revenue model centers on generating and selling electricity produced from wind, solar, and other renewable sources, leveraging China's aggressive transition toward clean energy. As a subsidiary of Fujian Investment & Development Group, Zhongmin benefits from strategic provincial support while operating within China's highly regulated but rapidly expanding renewable energy sector. The company occupies a niche position in China's renewable landscape, focusing on project development and operation rather than equipment manufacturing, which distinguishes it from broader industrial players. Its market positioning aligns with national energy security and carbon neutrality goals, positioning it to capitalize on continued government support for renewable infrastructure development. The company's regional focus and specialized operational expertise provide competitive advantages in securing projects and optimizing generation efficiency within China's evolving energy market structure.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated CNY 1.74 billion in revenue with exceptional profitability, achieving net income of CNY 651 million representing a robust 37% net margin. Operating cash flow of CNY 798 million significantly exceeded capital expenditures, indicating strong cash generation from existing operations. This performance reflects efficient project operations and favorable regulatory frameworks supporting renewable energy profitability in China.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Zhongmin demonstrates substantial earnings power with diluted EPS of CNY 0.34 and impressive returns on its asset base. The company maintains moderate capital expenditures relative to operating cash flow, suggesting disciplined investment in new capacity. The high profitability metrics indicate efficient utilization of existing generation assets and effective management of operational costs within China's renewable energy tariff structure.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a solid financial position with CNY 1.09 billion in cash against CNY 1.74 billion in total debt, indicating manageable leverage levels. The debt structure appears appropriate for utility infrastructure financing, supported by stable cash flows from power generation assets. Strong operating cash flow generation provides capacity for both debt service and future investment requirements.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Zhongmin employs a balanced capital allocation strategy, distributing CNY 0.103 per share in dividends while retaining earnings for growth investments. The company's positioning within China's expanding renewable energy sector suggests potential for continued capacity growth aligned with national clean energy targets. Current dividend payments reflect a commitment to shareholder returns while maintaining financial flexibility for strategic expansion opportunities.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of CNY 10.03 billion, the company trades at approximately 15.4 times earnings, reflecting utility-like valuation multiples. The low beta of 0.109 indicates market perception of stable, regulated returns characteristic of power generation assets. This valuation suggests investors price the company as a stable infrastructure play rather than high-growth renewable technology exposure.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Zhongmin benefits from strategic provincial backing and alignment with China's national energy transition policies. Its focused renewable operational expertise and existing project portfolio provide competitive advantages in securing new development opportunities. The outlook remains positive given continued government support for renewable energy expansion, though dependent on regulatory frameworks and grid integration policies evolving favorably.

Sources

Company financial reportsStock exchange disclosuresCorporate website information

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount