investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueGuanghui Energy Co., Ltd. (600256.SS)

Previous Close$5.61
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$5.61

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Guanghui Energy operates as a diversified energy developer in China, integrating upstream resource extraction with midstream processing and logistics. The company's core revenue model centers on the production and sale of coal, LNG, coal tar, alcohol ether, and petroleum products, leveraging its vertical integration across the energy value chain. Its operations span natural gas liquefaction, coal mining, coal chemical conversion, and oil and gas exploration, creating a synergistic business ecosystem that captures value from resource extraction to final product distribution. As a significant regional player headquartered in Urumqi, the company capitalizes on Xinjiang's rich energy resources while serving both domestic and international markets through its energy logistics services and crude oil trading activities. This integrated approach positions Guanghui Energy as a comprehensive energy solutions provider in China's evolving energy landscape, balancing traditional fossil fuels with cleaner energy transitions through its LNG and chemical conversion capabilities.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated CNY 36.4 billion in revenue with net income of CNY 3.0 billion, demonstrating solid operational scale in China's energy sector. Operating cash flow of CNY 5.7 billion significantly exceeded capital expenditures, indicating strong cash generation efficiency. The business maintains healthy profitability margins despite the capital-intensive nature of energy development and processing operations.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Guanghui Energy delivered diluted EPS of CNY 0.45, reflecting effective earnings conversion from its diversified energy portfolio. The company's operating cash flow coverage of capital expenditures at approximately 2.1 times demonstrates robust capital efficiency in funding growth investments while maintaining operational liquidity. This performance indicates sustainable earnings power across energy market cycles.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows CNY 4.3 billion in cash against CNY 15.8 billion in total debt, indicating moderate leverage within the capital-intensive energy sector. The company maintains sufficient liquidity buffers while employing debt to fund long-term energy infrastructure investments. This financial structure supports ongoing operations and strategic development in China's evolving energy market.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company demonstrates commitment to shareholder returns with a dividend per share of CNY 0.622, representing a substantial payout ratio. This dividend policy complements its growth investments in energy infrastructure, balancing capital allocation between strategic expansion and direct shareholder returns. The approach reflects management's confidence in sustainable cash generation capabilities.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 31.9 billion, the company trades at a P/E multiple reflective of integrated energy companies in emerging markets. The negative beta of -0.028 suggests low correlation with broader market movements, potentially indicating defensive characteristics within China's energy sector. This valuation incorporates expectations for stable energy demand and regulatory environment.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Guanghui Energy's integrated business model provides competitive advantages through vertical integration and regional resource access. The company's diversification across traditional and cleaner energy segments positions it well for China's energy transition. Strategic focus on Xinjiang's energy resources and logistics infrastructure supports long-term growth potential in serving domestic energy needs while maintaining operational flexibility.

Sources

Company financial reportsStock exchange disclosuresMarket data providers

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount