investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueNARI Technology Co., Ltd. (600406.SS)

Previous Close$25.20
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$25.20

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

NARI Technology Co., Ltd. is a prominent industrial machinery company operating within China's critical power infrastructure sector. It generates revenue by providing comprehensive power intelligence solutions, including smart substation automation, dispatching systems, and distribution networks. The company's core offerings extend to specialized industrial process control equipment and advanced renewable energy integration technologies, positioning it as a key enabler of grid modernization and energy efficiency. Operating primarily in China with an expanding international footprint, NARI leverages its deep technical expertise to serve utilities, industrial clients, and renewable energy projects. Its market position is strengthened by long-standing relationships with state-owned grid operators and a reputation for reliability in mission-critical systems. The company competes by offering integrated solutions that combine hardware, software, and services, creating high switching costs and recurring revenue streams through maintenance and upgrades.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported robust revenue of CNY 57.4 billion, demonstrating strong demand for its power infrastructure solutions. Net income reached CNY 7.61 billion, reflecting healthy profitability margins. Operating cash flow of CNY 11.09 billion significantly exceeded capital expenditures of CNY 1.83 billion, indicating efficient cash generation from core operations and substantial free cash flow availability for strategic initiatives.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

NARI exhibits substantial earnings power with diluted EPS of CNY 0.96, supported by its dominant market position in China's power sector. The company maintains excellent capital efficiency, as evidenced by operating cash flow that is nearly ten times its debt obligations. This strong cash conversion capability allows for sustained investment in high-return projects while maintaining financial flexibility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet reflects exceptional financial health with CNY 9.01 billion in cash and equivalents against minimal total debt of CNY 519.5 million. This conservative capital structure provides significant liquidity and low financial risk. The substantial cash position supports both operational needs and strategic opportunities without reliance on external financing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company demonstrates commitment to shareholder returns through a dividend per share of CNY 0.57, representing a substantial payout ratio. This dividend policy, combined with strong underlying financial performance, suggests a balanced approach to capital allocation that rewards investors while retaining sufficient earnings for continued growth in China's evolving power infrastructure market.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 179.3 billion and a beta of 0.555, the market appears to value NARI as a relatively stable industrial player within the power sector. The valuation reflects expectations for steady growth aligned with China's infrastructure development plans and the ongoing transition toward smarter energy systems.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

NARI benefits from strategic advantages including deep domain expertise, long-term customer relationships, and positioning within China's critical energy infrastructure ecosystem. The outlook remains positive given ongoing grid modernization initiatives, renewable energy integration demands, and the company's strong financial position to capitalize on these structural growth drivers.

Sources

Company financial reportsStock exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount