investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueHunan Tyen Machinery Co.,Ltd (600698.SS)

Previous Close$8.24
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$8.24

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Hunan Tyen Machinery operates as a specialized manufacturer of precision engine components within China's industrial machinery sector. The company's core revenue model centers on the research, development, production, and sale of critical engine parts including exhaust turbochargers, intake and exhaust valves, and cooling fans for both diesel and gasoline engines. These components serve diverse end markets including construction machinery, agricultural equipment, marine engines, and high-speed rail systems, positioning the company as an essential supplier to China's industrial and transportation infrastructure. Founded in 1950 and based in Hengyang, the company leverages decades of manufacturing expertise to maintain its position in the competitive automotive and industrial components market. Its comprehensive product portfolio and after-sales services support its role as an integrated solutions provider for engine system requirements across multiple machinery segments.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of CNY 432.5 million with modest net income of CNY 4.1 million, reflecting thin margins in the competitive machinery components sector. Negative operating cash flow of CNY -14.7 million and significant capital expenditures of CNY -51.1 million indicate substantial ongoing investments in production capacity and research activities, potentially impacting short-term cash generation despite the company's established market position.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of CNY 0.0039 demonstrates minimal earnings power relative to the company's scale, suggesting operational challenges or intense market competition. The substantial capital expenditure program, nearly twelve times the net income, indicates aggressive investment in production capabilities and technology development, which may enhance future competitive positioning but currently pressures near-term profitability metrics.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows strong liquidity with cash and equivalents of CNY 254.0 million against minimal total debt of CNY 2.6 million, indicating a conservative financial structure. This robust cash position provides operational flexibility and buffers against market volatility, though negative operating cash flow warrants monitoring for sustainability in the current investment cycle.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

No dividend payments reflect the company's focus on reinvesting capital into growth initiatives and operational expansion. The significant capital expenditure program suggests management prioritizes capacity expansion and technological advancement over immediate shareholder returns, aligning with a growth-oriented strategy in China's evolving industrial machinery landscape.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of CNY 8.5 billion, the company trades at elevated multiples relative to current earnings, indicating market expectations for future growth and potential operational improvements. The beta of 1.505 suggests higher volatility than the broader market, reflecting sensitivity to industrial and economic cycles in China's machinery sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's long-established presence since 1950 provides institutional knowledge and customer relationships in China's industrial sector. Its diverse product applications across construction, agricultural, marine, and rail markets offer some diversification benefits. The outlook depends on successful execution of current investments and ability to improve operational efficiency in a competitive component manufacturing environment.

Sources

Company financial reportsStock exchange disclosuresMarket data providers

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount