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Intrinsic ValueJiangsu Tianmu Lake Tourism Co.,Ltd (603136.SS)

Previous Close$12.28
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$12.28

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Jiangsu Tianmu Lake Tourism Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized integrated resort operator in China's domestic tourism sector. Its core revenue model is driven by entrance fees from its three distinct scenic attractions: Tianmu Lake Landscape Park, Nanshan Bamboo Sea, and Yushui Hot Spring, supplemented by income from on-site hotel accommodations and food services. The company occupies a niche position within the consumer cyclical sector, catering primarily to domestic tourists seeking nature-based leisure experiences and wellness retreats. Its integrated approach of bundling sightseeing with hospitality services creates a captive revenue stream within its controlled environment. This business model leverages the natural assets of the Tianmu Lake area to create a comprehensive destination experience, positioning the company as a regional leader in integrated tourism rather than a pure-play hotel or attraction operator. Its market position is inherently local and experience-focused, differentiating it from large-scale national hotel chains or online travel platforms.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated revenue of CNY 536.2 million with a net income of CNY 104.7 million, indicating a healthy net profit margin of approximately 19.5%. This demonstrates efficient cost management relative to its revenue base. Operating cash flow of CNY 192.1 million significantly exceeded net income, reflecting strong cash conversion from its primarily fee-based business model.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

With diluted EPS of CNY 0.39 and robust operating cash flow generation, the company exhibits solid earnings power. Capital expenditures of CNY -60.3 million represent a moderate reinvestment rate, suggesting disciplined capital allocation toward maintaining and enhancing its existing resort assets rather than aggressive expansion.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet appears strong with cash and equivalents of CNY 644.2 million against total debt of CNY 168.2 million, indicating substantial liquidity and a conservative leverage profile. This financial position provides flexibility to weather industry cyclicality and pursue selective investment opportunities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintains a shareholder-friendly approach with a dividend per share of CNY 0.235, representing a payout ratio of approximately 60% based on current EPS. This policy balances returning capital to shareholders while retaining earnings for operational needs and potential growth initiatives within its established resort framework.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a market capitalization of CNY 3.58 billion, the company's valuation reflects its position as a small-cap regional tourism play. The beta of 0.458 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, possibly indicating perceived stability in its niche resort business despite sector cyclicality.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its integrated resort model that captures multiple revenue streams within a controlled environment. Its outlook is tied to domestic tourism recovery and disposable income trends in China. The strong balance sheet provides resilience, while its focused regional presence offers deep market penetration but limits diversification.

Sources

Company financial reportsStock exchange disclosures

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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