investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueAIMA Technology Group Co. Ltd. (603529.SS)

Previous Close$29.56
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$29.56

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

AIMA Technology Group operates as a leading manufacturer of electric bicycles and cycling products within China's rapidly expanding consumer cyclical sector. The company generates revenue through the design, production, and distribution of electric two-wheelers, targeting urban commuters and consumers seeking eco-friendly transportation alternatives. AIMA leverages extensive manufacturing capabilities and brand recognition to maintain competitive positioning in China's densely populated urban markets, where electric bicycles serve as practical solutions for last-mile connectivity and congested city travel. The company's business model focuses on volume sales through retail networks and dealership channels, capitalizing on growing demand for affordable personal mobility options. AIMA's market position benefits from China's supportive regulatory environment for electric vehicles and the ongoing urbanization trend, though it faces intense competition from both traditional bicycle manufacturers and emerging electric mobility startups. The company's established presence since 1999 provides operational scale advantages in sourcing, production efficiency, and distribution network development.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

AIMA generated CNY 21.6 billion in revenue with net income of CNY 1.99 billion, demonstrating solid profitability with a net margin of approximately 9.2%. The company's operating cash flow of CNY 3.17 billion significantly exceeded net income, indicating strong cash conversion efficiency and effective working capital management in its manufacturing and distribution operations.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company delivered diluted EPS of CNY 2.26, reflecting effective earnings generation relative to its equity base. Capital expenditures of CNY 3.39 billion indicate substantial ongoing investment in production capacity and technological upgrades, though these investments were more than covered by robust operating cash flow generation during the period.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

AIMA maintains a conservative financial structure with CNY 2.91 billion in cash against total debt of CNY 1.84 billion, providing ample liquidity and financial flexibility. The strong cash position relative to moderate debt levels supports operational stability and potential strategic investments in an increasingly competitive electric mobility market.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company demonstrates shareholder returns through a dividend of CNY 1.552 per share, reflecting a commitment to capital distribution while maintaining growth investments. The substantial capital expenditure program suggests focus on capacity expansion and product development to capture growth in China's evolving electric personal mobility market.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 29.6 billion, the company trades at a P/E multiple around 15x based on current earnings. The negative beta of -0.02 suggests low correlation with broader market movements, potentially reflecting the defensive characteristics of essential personal transportation products.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

AIMA benefits from established brand recognition, manufacturing scale, and distribution network advantages in China's electric bicycle market. The company's outlook depends on maintaining competitive positioning amid evolving consumer preferences, regulatory changes affecting electric vehicles, and intensifying competition in the personal mobility sector.

Sources

Company financial statementsShanghai Stock Exchange disclosures

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount