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Intrinsic ValueJiangsu Fengshan Group Co.,Ltd (603810.SS)

Previous Close$16.57
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$16.57

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Jiangsu Fengshan Group operates as a specialized agricultural chemicals producer in China's competitive agrochemical sector, focusing on the development, manufacturing, and distribution of crop protection products. The company's core revenue model centers on selling herbicide, insecticide, bactericide, and plant growth regulator formulations to agricultural distributors and end-users. Operating within the basic materials sector, Fengshan leverages its integrated production capabilities and established distribution network to serve China's vast agricultural market while maintaining export operations. The company occupies a niche position in the domestic agrochemical landscape, competing with both state-owned enterprises and multinational corporations by offering a diversified portfolio of crop protection solutions. Founded in 1988 and headquartered in Yancheng, the company has developed regional strength in Eastern China while facing intense price competition and regulatory pressures characteristic of the agricultural inputs industry. Its market position reflects the challenges of medium-sized producers in navigating environmental regulations, technological shifts, and consolidation trends affecting the global agrochemical sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated CNY 1.04 billion in revenue but reported a net loss of CNY 38.6 million, indicating significant profitability challenges. Despite negative earnings, operating cash flow remained positive at CNY 155.8 million, suggesting some operational cash generation capability. The negative EPS of -0.23 reflects the difficult operating environment and potential margin pressures within the agricultural chemicals sector.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Current earnings power appears constrained given the net loss position, though positive operating cash flow indicates some underlying business resilience. Capital expenditures of CNY -171.2 million suggest ongoing investment in production capabilities despite profitability challenges. The company's ability to generate operating cash flow while reporting losses indicates potential working capital management effectiveness amid sector headwinds.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows substantial cash reserves of CNY 575 million against total debt of CNY 554 million, indicating a conservative financial structure with net cash position. This liquidity buffer provides financial flexibility during the current challenging period. The debt level appears manageable relative to cash holdings, suggesting adequate short-term financial stability despite operational losses.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company suspended dividend payments with a zero dividend per share, consistent with its loss-making position and likely focus on preserving capital. Revenue generation remains substantial despite profitability challenges, indicating maintained commercial activity. The absence of dividends reflects management's prioritization of financial preservation and operational restructuring during this difficult phase.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 2.5 billion, the market appears to be pricing in recovery potential despite current losses. The beta of 0.713 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, possibly reflecting the defensive nature of agricultural inputs. Valuation metrics likely incorporate expectations for sector recovery and potential margin improvement in future periods.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's long-established presence since 1988 provides industry experience and customer relationships, while its diversified product portfolio offers some resilience. Challenges include intense competition, regulatory compliance costs, and margin pressures. The outlook depends on agricultural demand recovery, pricing environment improvement, and successful navigation of China's evolving environmental and agricultural policies.

Sources

Company financial reportsStock exchange disclosuresMarket data providers

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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