investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueTangshan Sunfar Silicon Industries Co.,Ltd. (603938.SS)

Previous Close$26.60
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$26.60

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Tangshan Sunfar Silicon Industries operates as a specialized chemical producer focused on silicon-based compounds and related chemical products. The company's core business involves the research, development, and manufacturing of high-purity silicon chemicals including trichlorosilane, silicon tetrachloride, and electronic-grade specialty gases. These products serve critical roles in multiple industrial sectors, particularly the semiconductor, solar energy, and advanced materials industries where ultra-pure silicon compounds are essential raw materials. The company has established itself as a domestic supplier in China's chemical sector, leveraging its integrated production capabilities from basic silicon compounds to more refined electronic-grade materials. Its market position reflects the growing demand for high-purity chemicals driven by China's expanding electronics manufacturing and renewable energy sectors, though it operates in a competitive landscape with both domestic and international chemical producers.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated CNY 1.77 billion in revenue with net income of CNY 63.8 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 3.6%. Operating cash flow of CNY 162.7 million significantly exceeded net income, indicating strong cash conversion efficiency. Capital expenditures of CNY 91.0 million suggest ongoing investment in production capacity and technological upgrades to maintain competitive positioning in the specialty chemicals market.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

With diluted EPS of CNY 0.17, the company demonstrates modest earnings generation relative to its market capitalization. The positive operating cash flow of CNY 162.7 million provides adequate coverage for capital investment requirements, indicating sustainable operational funding without excessive external financing needs. The balance between operating cash generation and capital expenditures suggests disciplined capital allocation.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a conservative financial structure with CNY 158.1 million in cash and equivalents against minimal total debt of CNY 9.8 million, resulting in a strong net cash position. This low leverage profile provides financial flexibility and resilience against industry cyclicality. The substantial cash reserves relative to debt obligations indicate robust liquidity and low financial risk.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has implemented a modest dividend policy with CNY 0.017 per share, representing a payout ratio consistent with its earnings level. The balance between retained earnings for reinvestment and shareholder returns suggests a growth-oriented strategy while maintaining some income distribution. Future growth will likely depend on expansion in high-purity chemical markets and technological advancements.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of CNY 5.35 billion, the company trades at approximately 30 times trailing earnings, reflecting market expectations for future growth in specialty chemicals. The beta of 0.737 indicates lower volatility than the broader market, suggesting perceived stability in its business model despite operating in cyclical chemical industries.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic focus on high-purity silicon chemicals positions it to benefit from growth in semiconductor and solar industries. Its integrated production capabilities and research focus provide competitive advantages in quality-sensitive markets. The outlook depends on continued demand for electronic-grade materials and the company's ability to maintain technological competitiveness against larger global chemical producers.

Sources

Company financial statementsStock exchange disclosuresMarket data providers

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount