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Intrinsic ValueCountry Garden Services Holdings Company Limited (6098.HK)

Previous CloseHK$6.46
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$6.46

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Country Garden Services Holdings is a leading integrated property management service provider in China, operating primarily in the residential and non-residential real estate services sector. Its core revenue model is built on providing comprehensive property management services, including security, cleaning, landscaping, and maintenance, to a vast portfolio of properties. The company also generates significant income from community value-added services such as home decoration, real estate brokerage, and consultancy services for property developers, creating a diversified revenue stream beyond basic management fees. As one of China's largest property managers by project count, it holds a formidable market position with extensive scale, managing over 6,000 projects including residential complexes, commercial properties, and public facilities like airports and hospitals. Its affiliation with the Country Garden ecosystem provides a strategic advantage in project sourcing, though it also serves third-party developers, enhancing its market reach and competitive resilience in a fragmented industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of HKD 43.99 billion for the period, demonstrating its substantial scale in the property management sector. Net income stood at HKD 1.81 billion, reflecting the operational leverage and cost management inherent in its service-based model. Operating cash flow of HKD 3.87 billion indicates healthy cash conversion from its core activities, supporting ongoing service delivery and strategic initiatives.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted earnings per share were HKD 0.54, translating the net profit into a per-share metric for investor assessment. The company generated robust operating cash flow significantly exceeding its capital expenditures of HKD -610 million, highlighting strong free cash flow generation. This efficiency supports both reinvestment in service quality and returns to shareholders through its capital allocation policy.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet remains solid with a substantial cash and equivalents position of HKD 15.90 billion, providing a strong liquidity buffer. Total debt is reported at HKD 2.80 billion, resulting in a conservative net cash position that underscores financial stability. This low leverage supports resilience amid sector volatility and provides flexibility for selective growth opportunities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated a commitment to shareholder returns, distributing a dividend per share of HKD 0.15. Its growth is tied to the expansion of managed properties and the penetration of value-added services within its extensive existing portfolio. The ability to maintain profitability and cash generation supports a sustainable dividend policy while funding organic expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately HKD 22.56 billion, the market valuation reflects both the company's scale and the challenges within the broader Chinese property sector. A beta of 1.69 indicates higher volatility than the market, pricing in sensitivity to real estate and macroeconomic conditions in China. The valuation incorporates expectations for managed growth and cash returns.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Key strategic advantages include its market-leading scale, diversified service offerings, and embedded relationship with a major developer. The outlook is cautiously optimistic, dependent on the stabilization of China's property market and the company's ability to expand its third-party management contracts. Its strong balance sheet positions it to navigate near-term headwinds and capitalize on industry consolidation opportunities.

Sources

Company DescriptionProvided Financial Data

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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