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Intrinsic ValueTakisawa Machine Tool Co., Ltd. (6121.T)

Previous Close¥2,596.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥2,596.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Takisawa Machine Tool Co., Ltd. operates in the industrial machinery sector, specializing in the manufacturing and sale of precision machine tools. The company’s product portfolio includes CNC lathes, multi-tasking machines, machining centers, and piston machines, catering to diverse industrial applications. With a legacy dating back to 1922, Takisawa has established itself as a trusted provider of high-performance machine tools, serving both domestic and international markets. The company’s revenue model is driven by equipment sales complemented by value-added services such as technical support and sales assistance, enhancing customer retention and long-term relationships. Positioned in a competitive industry, Takisawa differentiates itself through technological expertise and reliability, targeting manufacturers requiring precision engineering solutions. Its market presence in Japan and overseas underscores its adaptability to regional industrial demands, though it faces challenges from global competitors and cyclical industry trends.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2023, Takisawa reported revenue of JPY 27.99 billion, with net income of JPY 333 million, reflecting modest profitability. The diluted EPS stood at JPY 52.18, indicating subdued earnings power. Operating cash flow was negative at JPY -41.3 million, while capital expenditures totaled JPY -940.8 million, suggesting ongoing investments in production capabilities. The company’s financial performance highlights operational challenges amid a competitive landscape.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Takisawa’s earnings power appears constrained, with net income representing a slim margin relative to revenue. The negative operating cash flow raises concerns about short-term liquidity, though the company maintains a solid cash position of JPY 7.76 billion. Capital efficiency metrics indicate significant reinvestment in fixed assets, which may support future growth but weigh on near-term cash generation.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Takisawa’s balance sheet shows JPY 7.76 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of JPY 6.49 billion, reflecting a manageable leverage position. The company’s liquidity appears adequate, but the negative operating cash flow warrants monitoring. With a market capitalization of JPY 16.58 billion, the firm’s financial health is stable but not without risks given industry cyclicality.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends remain muted, with revenue and net income reflecting modest performance. The company’s dividend policy is unclear from available data, though its capital allocation prioritizes reinvestment over shareholder returns. Future growth may hinge on technological advancements and expansion into higher-margin segments.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Takisawa trades at a market cap of JPY 16.58 billion, with a beta of 0.711, indicating lower volatility relative to the market. Valuation metrics suggest the market has tempered expectations, likely due to cyclical headwinds and operational challenges. Investors may be pricing in limited near-term upside absent significant improvements in profitability.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Takisawa’s strategic advantages include its long-standing industry expertise and diversified product portfolio. However, the outlook remains cautious due to competitive pressures and macroeconomic uncertainties. The company’s ability to innovate and optimize costs will be critical to sustaining its market position and improving financial performance in the coming years.

Sources

Company filings, market data

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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