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Intrinsic ValueChina Greenfresh Group Co., Ltd. (6183.HK)

Previous CloseHK$0.08
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$0.08

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2018 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

China Greenfresh Group operates as a specialized agricultural producer focused on the cultivation, processing, and global distribution of edible fungi products. The company's core revenue model integrates vertical operations from mushroom farming to value-added processing, producing fresh varieties like king trumpet and shiitake mushrooms alongside canned, brined, and dried products. Operating in the competitive packaged foods sector within Consumer Defensive, the company has established an international footprint across Asia-Pacific, Europe, and North America through diversified sales channels including direct consumer products and B2B trading. Its strategic positioning leverages China's agricultural resources while targeting global health food trends, supported by research initiatives in edible fungi healthcare products and recent partnerships to develop plant protein industries in Yunnan Province.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated HKD 1.01 billion in revenue for FY2018 with net income of HKD 147.2 million, representing a healthy net margin of approximately 14.6%. Operating cash flow of HKD 97.7 million demonstrates solid cash generation from core operations, though capital expenditures were minimal at HKD 2.9 million, indicating limited investment in capacity expansion during this period.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

With diluted EPS of HKD 0.13, the company demonstrated moderate earnings power relative to its revenue base. The minimal capital expenditure requirements suggest capital-efficient operations, though the relationship between operating cash flow and net income indicates reasonable quality of earnings with some working capital movements affecting cash conversion.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a strong liquidity position with HKD 1.03 billion in cash and equivalents against modest total debt of HKD 27.7 million, resulting in a robust net cash position. This conservative capital structure provides significant financial flexibility and indicates low financial risk, though the substantial cash balance may raise questions about capital allocation efficiency.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company distributed a dividend of HKD 0.15 per share, representing a payout ratio exceeding 100% of earnings, suggesting either a special distribution or commitment to shareholder returns despite earnings levels. The international operational footprint and recent strategic agreements indicate potential growth avenues, though current financial metrics show limited reinvestment for expansion.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization reported as zero, valuation metrics cannot be reliably assessed. The absence of market data suggests either illiquidity, reporting limitations, or potential suspension issues that prevent conventional valuation analysis using standard multiples or comparative metrics.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's vertically integrated model and international distribution network provide competitive advantages in the specialized edible fungi market. Strategic partnerships in plant protein development and healthcare product research suggest diversification potential, though execution success will depend on effective capital deployment from the substantial cash reserves and market acceptance of new initiatives.

Sources

Company annual reportHong Kong Stock Exchange filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2019202020212022202320242025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043

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