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Intrinsic ValueSoldOut, Inc. (6553.T)

Previous Close¥1,806.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥1,806.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

SoldOut, Inc. operates as a digital marketing support provider, catering primarily to small and medium-sized venture companies in Japan. The company specializes in delivering comprehensive digital marketing solutions, including promotion tools, internet advertisement operations, and corporate branding services. Its offerings extend to e-commerce support, web promotion, and human resource development, positioning it as a versatile player in Japan's competitive digital marketing landscape. SoldOut differentiates itself through its proprietary social advertising platform, ZIP, and IT tool development services, which streamline digital marketing workflows. As a subsidiary of Hakuhodo DY Holdings, it benefits from synergies within a larger advertising and marketing network, enhancing its credibility and market reach. The company’s focus on automation and efficiency appeals to businesses seeking scalable digital solutions, reinforcing its niche in Japan’s technology-driven marketing sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

SoldOut reported revenue of JPY 22.3 billion for FY 2021, with net income of JPY 145 million, reflecting modest profitability. Operating cash flow stood at JPY 608.6 million, though capital expenditures of JPY -739.6 million indicate significant reinvestment. The diluted EPS of JPY 1.35 suggests limited earnings power relative to its share count, highlighting potential margin pressures in its competitive industry.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power appears constrained, with net income representing a slim margin of approximately 0.6% of revenue. Operating cash flow, while positive, is overshadowed by high capital expenditures, suggesting aggressive investment in growth initiatives. The low EPS further underscores challenges in translating top-line performance into robust shareholder returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

SoldOut maintains a solid liquidity position with JPY 2.6 billion in cash and equivalents, against total debt of JPY 1.04 billion, indicating a manageable leverage profile. The negative free cash flow due to high capex warrants monitoring, but the company’s balance sheet remains relatively stable, supported by its parent company’s backing.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth appears muted, with modest net income and significant reinvestment needs. The dividend payout of JPY 36.28 per share suggests a shareholder-friendly policy, though sustainability depends on improved profitability. The company’s focus on IT tool development and automation may drive future efficiency gains, but near-term growth prospects remain uncertain.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With limited publicly available market cap data, valuation metrics are unclear. The beta of 0.89 suggests moderate market correlation, but investor expectations likely hinge on SoldOut’s ability to scale its digital marketing solutions and improve margins in a competitive sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

SoldOut’s integration within Hakuhodo DY Holdings provides strategic advantages, including access to broader marketing networks and resources. Its focus on automation and niche digital services positions it well for long-term relevance, but execution risks and margin pressures remain key challenges. The outlook depends on its ability to leverage parent-company synergies while innovating in a rapidly evolving digital landscape.

Sources

Company description, financial data from public filings (FY 2021), and market data from exchange sources.

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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