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Intrinsic ValueHaitong Securities Co., Ltd. (6837.HK)

Previous CloseHK$6.45
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$6.45

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Haitong Securities Co., Ltd. is a major Chinese securities firm operating a diversified financial services model across Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Europe. Its core revenue streams are derived from six distinct segments: Wealth Management, Investment Banking, Asset Management, Trading and Institution, Finance Lease, and Others. The company provides a comprehensive suite of services including securities brokering, margin financing, investment banking underwriting, asset management for institutional and retail clients, prime brokerage, and financial leasing solutions. This diversified approach allows Haitong to capture value across the entire financial ecosystem, from capital raising and advisory to investment management and trading execution. As one of China's largest securities companies, it holds a significant market position, leveraging its extensive branch network and established client relationships to compete in a highly regulated and competitive sector. Its international presence, particularly through its Hong Kong subsidiary, provides a strategic gateway for cross-border capital flows and global financial services, enhancing its resilience against domestic market cycles.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Haitong Securities generated HKD 22.38 billion in revenue for FY 2023, with net income of HKD 1.01 billion. This resulted in a net profit margin of approximately 4.5%, reflecting the competitive and cyclical nature of the capital markets industry. The company's operating cash flow was a positive HKD 3.05 billion, indicating solid cash generation from its core brokerage and trading activities.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company reported a diluted EPS of HKD 0.0772 for the period. Its capital expenditure was negative HKD 801.7 million, which is typical for a financial services firm as it often involves divestments or changes in investment securities rather than traditional physical asset purchases, highlighting its asset-light operational model.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Haitong maintains a substantial balance sheet with HKD 250.7 billion in cash and equivalents. Total debt stands at HKD 301.9 billion, which is standard for a leveraged financial institution engaged in proprietary trading and margin lending activities. The high absolute values reflect the scale of its operations and market-making functions.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company demonstrated a commitment to shareholder returns with a dividend per share of HKD 0.1427. This payout is significantly higher than its EPS, indicating a policy that may utilize retained earnings to provide consistent income, a common practice among established financial firms aiming to attract income-focused investors.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately HKD 129.3 billion, the market valuation incorporates expectations for a recovery in capital markets activity. A beta of 0.429 suggests the stock is perceived as less volatile than the broader market, potentially pricing in its diversified business model and established position.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Haitong's key advantages include its extensive domestic network, full-service offering, and international footprint. The outlook is tied to overall capital market performance in China, regulatory developments, and its ability to navigate economic cycles. Its scale provides a buffer, but growth is inherently linked to market sentiment and transaction volumes.

Sources

Company Annual Report (2023)Hong Kong Stock Exchange Filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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