investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueDBAPPSecurity Co., Ltd. (688023.SS)

Previous Close$56.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$56.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

DBAPPSecurity Co., Ltd. is a specialized cybersecurity provider operating within China's rapidly expanding technology infrastructure sector. The company generates revenue through the development, manufacturing, and sale of comprehensive security solutions, including its flagship APT Discovery platform, database auditing systems, and cloud security products. Its business model combines product sales with value-added professional services and SaaS offerings, creating multiple revenue streams while addressing critical vulnerabilities in enterprise and government networks. Operating in a strategically important industry, the company positions itself as a domestic specialist in database and application security, serving clients who require localized solutions that comply with China's stringent cybersecurity regulations. The market for these services is driven by increasing digital transformation, cloud migration, and regulatory requirements, though it faces intense competition from both domestic and international security firms. DBAPPSecurity's focus on specific niches like database auditing and operational risk control provides some differentiation in a crowded marketplace.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated CNY 2.04 billion in revenue but reported a net loss of CNY -197.8 million, indicating significant profitability challenges. Despite negative earnings, operating cash flow remained positive at CNY 160.8 million, suggesting some operational efficiency in cash generation. The negative EPS of -1.76 CNY reflects the current unprofitability relative to the shareholder base.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Current earnings power appears constrained given the substantial net loss position. The company maintains moderate capital expenditures of CNY -165.7 million, indicating continued investment in product development and infrastructure. The positive operating cash flow relative to capital expenditures suggests some ability to fund operations internally despite the loss-making position.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows strong liquidity with CNY 1.71 billion in cash and equivalents, providing a substantial buffer against current losses. Total debt of CNY 795 million represents a manageable leverage position given the cash reserves. The company's financial health appears adequate for near-term operations despite profitability challenges.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintains a zero dividend policy, consistent with its loss-making position and focus on reinvesting capital into growth initiatives. The cybersecurity market in China continues to expand, driven by regulatory requirements and digital transformation, though competitive pressures may impact growth trajectory. Current financial performance suggests the company is prioritizing market expansion over immediate profitability.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 5.45 billion, the market appears to be valuing future growth potential rather than current earnings. The low beta of 0.239 suggests the stock is less volatile than the broader market, possibly reflecting its niche positioning. Valuation metrics based on earnings are not meaningful given the current loss position.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company benefits from its specialized focus on database and application security within China's regulated environment. Its comprehensive product portfolio and service offerings provide some competitive insulation. The outlook depends on the company's ability to translate China's growing cybersecurity demands into sustainable profitability while managing intense market competition and evolving technological requirements.

Sources

Company descriptionFinancial metrics provided

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount