investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueKexing Biopharm Co., Ltd. (688136.SS)

Previous Close$32.55
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$32.55

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Kexing Biopharm Co., Ltd. is a specialized biopharmaceutical company operating within China's competitive healthcare sector, focusing on the development, manufacturing, and commercialization of recombinant protein drugs and microbial preparations. Its core revenue model is driven by sales of its diverse product portfolio, which includes innovative biologics and biosimilars targeting critical therapeutic areas such as antiviral, oncology, immunology, and metabolic diseases. The company leverages its research and development capabilities to create both novel therapeutics and more accessible biosimilar versions of established drugs, catering to a broad patient base. Operating in a highly regulated environment, Kexing has established a significant market position as a domestic player with a comprehensive pipeline, competing with both multinational corporations and local firms by emphasizing cost-effective production and extensive distribution networks within China and select international markets.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of CNY 1.41 billion for the period, achieving a net income of CNY 31.48 million. This translates to a net profit margin of approximately 2.2%, indicating modest profitability amidst significant operational expenditures typical for R&D-intensive biopharma. Operating cash flow was positive at CNY 106.67 million, supporting ongoing activities.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted earnings per share stood at CNY 0.16, reflecting the company's current earnings capacity. Capital expenditures were CNY 93.99 million, representing a substantial investment in maintaining and expanding production and research capabilities, which is critical for future growth but pressures near-term capital efficiency metrics.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Kexing maintains a solid liquidity position with cash and equivalents of CNY 554.56 million. Total debt is reported at CNY 895.09 million. The company's financial structure shows a manageable debt level supported by its cash reserves, providing a stable foundation for its operations and R&D investments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company demonstrates a commitment to returning value to shareholders, evidenced by a dividend per share of CNY 0.08. This payout, against the EPS, indicates a dividend policy that balances shareholder returns with the need to reinvest heavily into the capital-intensive research and development required for pipeline advancement and future growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 8.48 billion, the market valuation implies significant expectations for future growth and successful commercialization of its drug pipeline. A beta of 0.878 suggests the stock is slightly less volatile than the broader market, which may reflect its established product base alongside its development-stage profile.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Kexing's strategic advantage lies in its diversified portfolio spanning biosimilars and novel biologics, coupled with deep domestic market penetration. The outlook is contingent on successful R&D outcomes, regulatory approvals, and effective commercialization of its pipeline assets, which are essential for driving future revenue growth and improving profitability margins in the competitive biopharmaceutical landscape.

Sources

Company DescriptionFinancial Data Provided

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount