investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueJiangsu Cai Qin Technology Co., Ltd (688182.SS)

Previous Close$33.66
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$33.66

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Jiangsu Cai Qin Technology operates as a specialized manufacturer of high-frequency electronic components, primarily serving the telecommunications and defense sectors with ceramic dielectric filters, dielectric waveguide filters, and various antenna systems. The company's core revenue model involves designing and producing precision components that enable signal transmission and filtering in advanced communication infrastructure, including 5G networks and military applications. Operating within China's competitive semiconductor and electronic components sector, Cai Qin Technology has established itself as a niche player with technical expertise in dielectric materials and RF filter design. The company's market positioning leverages its nearly two decades of operational experience since its 2004 founding, catering to both civil and military end markets that require reliable, high-performance filtering solutions. This dual-market approach provides revenue diversification while maintaining focus on specialized technical competencies that create barriers to entry for potential competitors.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company generated CNY 410.9 million in revenue with strong profitability, achieving net income of CNY 57.8 million representing a healthy 14% net margin. Operating cash flow of CNY 113.6 million significantly exceeded net income, indicating excellent cash conversion efficiency and robust operational performance despite substantial capital investment requirements in this technology-intensive sector.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

With diluted EPS of CNY 0.14 and substantial operating cash flow generation, the company demonstrates solid earnings power relative to its market capitalization. The significant capital expenditures of CNY 257.4 million reflect heavy investment in production capabilities, suggesting management's focus on expanding capacity and technological capabilities for future growth opportunities.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet appears exceptionally strong with CNY 246.8 million in cash and equivalents against minimal total debt of only CNY 2.5 million, resulting in a net cash position that provides significant financial flexibility. This conservative capital structure supports the company's ability to weather economic cycles and invest in strategic initiatives without leverage constraints.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company maintains a balanced capital return policy, distributing CNY 0.075 per share in dividends while simultaneously making substantial investments in capacity expansion. This approach suggests management confidence in both current cash generation capabilities and future growth prospects, particularly in the expanding 5G infrastructure and defense electronics markets.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a market capitalization of CNY 9.8 billion, the company commands a premium valuation multiple relative to current earnings, reflecting market expectations for significant future growth in the 5G and defense electronics sectors. The low beta of 0.125 indicates the stock exhibits lower volatility than the broader market, potentially appealing to risk-averse investors seeking exposure to technology infrastructure.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's specialized expertise in dielectric filter technology and established relationships in both civil and military markets provide sustainable competitive advantages. With China's continued 5G infrastructure deployment and defense modernization, the outlook remains positive for continued demand growth in the company's specialized component offerings, supported by its strong financial position.

Sources

Company financial statementsStock exchange disclosuresCompany description documentation

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount