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Intrinsic ValueSouth China Assets Holdings Limited (8155.HK)

Previous CloseHK$0.01
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$0.01

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2020 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

South China Assets Holdings Limited operates as a diversified investment holding company with a primary focus on property development in mainland China, developing and selling both residential and commercial properties. The company has expanded its operations into three distinct segments: Financial Services, offering money lending, investment advisory, asset management, and dealings in securities and insurance products; Property Development, its traditional core business; and a newer Face mask segment, involved in the manufacture and sale of protective equipment. This diversification reflects a strategic attempt to leverage different revenue streams beyond the cyclical real estate market. Its market position is that of a smaller, agile player in the highly competitive Chinese property sector, supplemented by financial services and a opportunistic venture into pandemic-related personal protective equipment, indicating a adaptive but potentially unfocused business model navigating multiple industries.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported modest revenue of HKD 5.64 million for FY2020, which is overshadowed by a significantly larger net income of HKD 20.55 million. This discrepancy suggests profitability was driven by non-operating items such as investment gains or revaluations, not core business efficiency. Operational cash flow was negative HKD 3.92 million, indicating challenges in generating cash from primary activities.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS was minimal at HKD 0.0019, reflecting weak earnings power relative to the massive share count. The negative operating cash flow and substantial capital expenditures of HKD -4.51 million further highlight significant inefficiency in capital deployment and an inability to self-fund its operations during this period.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet shows a cash position of HKD 18.60 million against a considerably larger total debt of HKD 121.13 million, indicating a leveraged financial structure. This high debt-to-cash ratio presents a clear liquidity risk and suggests the company's financial health is under considerable strain.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The minimal revenue figure does not indicate robust organic growth. The company maintained a conservative dividend policy, with a dividend per share of HKD 0, choosing to retain all earnings, likely to preserve cash given its leveraged position and negative cash flows.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a reported market capitalization of HKD 0, the stock appears to be deeply distressed or illiquid, reflecting extremely negative market expectations. This valuation suggests a severe lack of investor confidence in the company's future prospects and business model viability.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's main strategic advantage is its diversification beyond the volatile property sector into financial services and PPE. However, the outlook remains highly uncertain due to its leveraged balance sheet, negative cash generation, and the challenge of integrating these disparate, non-synergistic business lines effectively.

Sources

Company Annual Report

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2021202220232024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045

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