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Intrinsic ValueLi Ning Company Limited (82331.HK)

Previous CloseHK$18.20
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$18.20

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Li Ning Company Limited is a leading Chinese sportswear enterprise operating primarily in the People's Republic of China. The company's core revenue model is vertically integrated, encompassing the research, design, manufacturing, marketing, and retail distribution of athletic products. Its primary brand, LI-NING, offers a comprehensive portfolio of professional and leisure footwear, apparel, equipment, and accessories. The company strategically augments its main brand with a multi-brand portfolio, including AIGLE for outdoor sports, Double Happiness for table tennis, and Kason for badminton, catering to specific athletic niches. This diversified approach allows Li Ning to capture value across different consumer segments and price points within the expansive sportswear market. Operating an extensive network of conventional stores, flagship locations, factory outlets, and multi-brand stores, the firm maintains a significant physical retail footprint. Li Ning occupies a prominent position as a major domestic champion in China's highly competitive athletic wear sector, competing directly with both international giants and local rivals.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For the period, the company generated CNY 28.7 billion in revenue with a net income of CNY 3.0 billion, indicating a net profit margin of approximately 10.5%. The business demonstrated strong cash generation, with operating cash flow of CNY 5.3 billion significantly exceeding net income, reflecting healthy earnings quality and efficient working capital management.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power is evidenced by its diluted EPS of CNY 1.26. Capital expenditures of CNY 1.4 billion were more than covered by robust operating cash flow, indicating disciplined reinvestment for growth while maintaining strong free cash flow generation to support the business and shareholder returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The balance sheet is characterized by financial strength, with a substantial cash position of CNY 7.5 billion against total debt of CNY 1.9 billion, resulting in a net cash position. This low leverage provides significant financial flexibility and a strong buffer against market volatility or economic downturns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has established a shareholder return policy, distributing a dividend of CNY 0.54405 per share. This commitment to returning capital, combined with its net cash position and strong cash flow, suggests a balanced approach to funding future growth initiatives while providing income to investors.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately CNY 42.6 billion, the market valuation implies certain growth expectations. A beta of 0.937 indicates the stock's volatility is slightly less than the broader market, suggesting it is perceived as a relatively stable investment within its sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Key strategic advantages include its powerful domestic brand recognition, a vertically integrated business model, and a multi-brand strategy targeting various sports niches. Its outlook is tied to continued brand strength, execution in a competitive retail environment, and its ability to capitalize on China's growing sports participation and consumer spending.

Sources

Company Annual ReportHong Kong Stock Exchange Filings

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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