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Intrinsic ValueTracker Fund of Hong Kong (82800.HK)

Previous CloseHK$24.58
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$24.58

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Tracker Fund of Hong Kong (TraHK) operates as a passive investment vehicle structured as a unit trust, specifically designed to replicate the performance of the Hang Seng Index. The fund provides investors with broad exposure to Hong Kong's largest and most liquid listed companies across various sectors, serving as a core portfolio component for both institutional and retail investors seeking Hong Kong equity market beta. Its primary revenue model involves charging a management fee based on assets under management while minimizing tracking error through efficient portfolio replication strategies. As one of Hong Kong's largest and most established exchange-traded funds, TraHK maintains a dominant market position with deep liquidity and widespread recognition among local and international investors seeking cost-effective access to Hong Kong's equity market. The fund's structure allows for continuous creation and redemption of units, ensuring tight tracking to the underlying index while providing market makers and authorized participants with efficient arbitrage mechanisms.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

As a passive ETF, TraHK's revenue primarily consists of management fees deducted from the fund's assets, resulting in negative reported revenue figures due to accounting treatment of fund operations. The fund's efficiency is measured by its low tracking error and management expense ratio rather than traditional profitability metrics, with operational costs kept minimal to maximize returns for unitholders. Portfolio turnover remains low given its index replication strategy, enhancing tax efficiency for investors.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The fund's earnings power derives entirely from the performance of the underlying Hang Seng Index constituents, with dividend distributions from holdings contributing to total returns. Capital efficiency is optimized through full replication or sampling techniques to minimize tracking error while maintaining liquidity. The absence of leverage and derivative positions preserves capital structure simplicity, aligning returns directly with index performance minus management fees.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

TraHK maintains a straightforward balance structure consisting primarily of equity securities representing the Hang Seng Index constituents, with cash holdings kept minimal for operational needs. The fund operates without debt and maintains sufficient liquidity to meet redemption requests and portfolio rebalancing requirements. Financial health is evidenced by the substantial CNY 454.5 million in cash equivalents and zero leverage, ensuring stability during market volatility.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Fund growth correlates directly with Hang Seng Index performance and investor flows into Hong Kong equity exposure. The dividend distribution of CNY 0.7737 per share reflects the underlying index constituents' dividend yields, distributed periodically to unitholders. Asset growth trends depend on market sentiment toward Hong Kong equities and investor preference for low-cost passive investment vehicles in the region.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of CNY 143.8 billion, TraHK's valuation mirrors the aggregate valuation of Hang Seng Index constituents. The beta of 0.995 indicates nearly perfect correlation with market movements, reflecting efficient index tracking. Market expectations are inherently tied to Hong Kong equity market prospects, with the fund serving as a pure play on local economic and corporate earnings trends.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

TraHK's strategic advantages include its first-mover status, massive scale providing liquidity benefits, and ultra-low management costs compared to active alternatives. The fund benefits from Hong Kong's position as a financial gateway to China, though geopolitical factors and regional economic conditions influence outlook. Continued growth in passive investing adoption supports long-term prospects, though performance remains entirely dependent on Hang Seng Index trajectory.

Sources

Fund Fact SheetHong Kong Stock Exchange filingsBloomberg terminal data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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