investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueHang Chi Holdings Limited (8405.HK)

Previous CloseHK$0.69
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
HK$0.69

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Hang Chi Holdings Limited is a specialized healthcare provider operating in Hong Kong's elderly residential care sector. The company generates revenue through a multi-faceted model centered on providing comprehensive residential care services under its established brand portfolio, including Shui On and Guardian Home. Its core offerings encompass accommodation with professional dietician-managed meals, 24-hour nursing care, and essential custodial assistance, forming a stable recurring revenue base. Beyond basic care, the company diversifies its income streams by selling critical healthcare consumables like adult nappies and nutritional milk directly to residents, while also offering premium, customizable add-on services such as physiotherapy and psychological support. This positions Hang Chi as an integrated provider catering to the growing needs of an aging demographic in a densely populated market. The company's subsidiary status under Shui Wah Limited provides an element of structural stability, while its focused operational scope allows for deep expertise in a niche but essential segment of Hong Kong's healthcare landscape, serving a critical social need.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

The company reported revenue of HKD 211.2 million for FY2023, demonstrating its operational scale within its niche market. Net income was HKD 23.4 million, translating to a healthy net profit margin of approximately 11.1%. Strong operating cash flow of HKD 75.6 million significantly exceeded net income, indicating high-quality earnings and efficient cash conversion from its core care home operations.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Hang Chi generated diluted EPS of HKD 0.0585, reflecting its earnings power on a per-share basis. The substantial operating cash flow, which was more than triple the net income, highlights exceptional capital efficiency in converting accounting profits into usable cash. This robust cash generation provides significant flexibility for funding operations, strategic investments, and shareholder returns without excessive external financing.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintained a solid liquidity position with cash and equivalents of HKD 46.2 million against total debt of HKD 79.2 million. The net debt position is manageable, supported by the strong and predictable operating cash flows. The balance sheet structure appears conservative, with no indication of financial distress, providing a stable foundation for ongoing operations and potential modest expansion.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has established a shareholder-friendly dividend policy, distributing HKD 0.04 per share. This represents a payout ratio of approximately 68%, indicating a commitment to returning capital to shareholders while retaining sufficient earnings for reinvestment. The underlying business benefits from demographic tailwinds supporting long-term demand for elderly care services in its core Hong Kong market.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of HKD 276 million, the stock trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 11.8x based on FY2023 earnings. A beta of 0.332 suggests the market perceives the stock as significantly less volatile than the broader market, likely reflecting the defensive and non-cyclical nature of its essential elderly care services.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The company's strategic advantage lies in its established brand portfolio and integrated service model within Hong Kong's essential elderly care sector. Its outlook is underpinned by strong demographic trends favoring demand for quality care services. The ability to generate superior operating cash flow provides a durable competitive position and financial flexibility to navigate market conditions.

Sources

Company Annual ReportHong Kong Stock Exchange Filings

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045204620472048

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount