investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueApaman Co., Ltd. (8889.T)

Previous Close¥727.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥727.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2023 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Apaman Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized real estate portal in Japan, primarily through its flagship platform, Apamanshop. The company focuses on providing comprehensive rental, monthly property listings, and investment property information for both domestic and international markets. Its digital-first approach caters to tenants, landlords, and investors, positioning it as a key intermediary in Japan's competitive real estate services sector. Apaman differentiates itself through user-friendly technology and localized market insights, serving urban and suburban demand. The company’s revenue model hinges on listing fees, advertising, and premium services for property managers and developers. While Japan’s real estate market remains fragmented, Apaman has carved a niche by streamlining property searches and transactions. Its market position is bolstered by brand recognition and a growing reliance on digital platforms in real estate, though it faces competition from larger conglomerates and emerging proptech startups.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Apaman reported revenue of JPY 45.8 billion for FY 2023, with net income of JPY 573 million, reflecting modest profitability. Operating cash flow stood at JPY 3.1 billion, indicating reasonable liquidity generation. Capital expenditures of JPY 595 million suggest ongoing investments in platform enhancements. The company’s ability to convert revenue into cash flow demonstrates operational efficiency, though margins remain constrained by competitive pressures.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS of JPY 31.96 underscores Apaman’s earnings capacity relative to its share base. The company’s capital efficiency is tempered by its debt load, with total debt at JPY 18.9 billion against JPY 8.9 billion in cash. While operating cash flow covers interest obligations, leverage remains a consideration for long-term sustainability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Apaman’s balance sheet shows JPY 8.9 billion in cash against JPY 18.9 billion in total debt, indicating a leveraged position. The company’s liquidity is supported by operating cash flow, but its debt-to-equity ratio warrants monitoring. Financial health is stable in the near term, but deleveraging could improve resilience against market downturns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Apaman’s growth is tied to Japan’s real estate digitalization trend, though revenue growth appears muted. The company pays a dividend of JPY 40 per share, signaling a commitment to shareholder returns. Future expansion may depend on capturing higher-value transactions or diversifying services, but dividend sustainability hinges on earnings stability.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of JPY 13.1 billion, Apaman trades at a moderate valuation relative to earnings. Its beta of 0.57 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market. Investors likely price in steady but slow growth, reflecting Japan’s mature real estate sector and Apaman’s niche positioning.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Apaman’s strategic advantages include its established digital platform and localized expertise. However, competition and macroeconomic headwinds pose challenges. The outlook depends on its ability to innovate and capture market share in a digitizing industry, while managing leverage and cost pressures.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2024202520262027202820292030203120322033203420352036203720382039204020412042204320442045204620472048

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount