investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueS Line Co.,Ltd. (9078.T)

Previous Close¥1,454.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥1,454.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

S Line Co., Ltd. operates as a specialized logistics and transportation provider in Japan, offering a diversified portfolio of services that cater to both domestic and niche market demands. The company’s core offerings include small cargo and charter flight services, large product delivery, and heavy goods transportation, supplemented by value-added services such as 3PL logistics, storage, and vehicle maintenance. Its integration of logistics information systems enhances operational efficiency, positioning it as a technologically adept player in Japan’s competitive trucking sector. Beyond traditional logistics, S Line has expanded into home appliance installation services, including air conditioning and water heater setups, diversifying its revenue streams. This hybrid model allows the company to leverage its logistical expertise while tapping into adjacent service markets. Despite operating in a fragmented industry, S Line maintains a stable regional presence, supported by its long-standing reputation since its founding in 1938. Its focus on specialized cargo and last-mile solutions differentiates it from larger competitors, though it faces margin pressures from fuel costs and labor shortages common in the sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2024, S Line reported revenue of ¥49.7 billion, with net income of ¥835 million, reflecting modest profitability in a capital-intensive industry. Operating cash flow stood at ¥2.2 billion, though capital expenditures of ¥1.98 billion indicate ongoing investments in fleet and technology. The company’s diluted EPS of ¥76.96 suggests efficient capital allocation relative to its market cap.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

S Line’s earnings power is constrained by the low-margin nature of its core transportation services, with net income representing approximately 1.7% of revenue. However, its capital efficiency is supported by a manageable debt load (¥1.35 billion) and a cash reserve of ¥3.6 billion, providing flexibility for operational needs or selective expansion.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

The company maintains a conservative balance sheet, with total debt of ¥1.35 billion against cash and equivalents of ¥3.6 billion, indicating a net cash position. This liquidity buffer, combined with modest leverage, underscores financial stability, though the capital-intensive nature of logistics necessitates continued reinvestment.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth prospects are tied to Japan’s domestic logistics demand and potential expansion in 3PL services. The company’s dividend payout appears minimal (total dividends of ¥37 million against net income of ¥835 million), suggesting a retention strategy to fund operations or future investments.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a market cap of ¥15.8 billion, S Line trades at a P/E of approximately 18.9x (based on diluted EPS), aligning with mid-cap logistics peers. Its beta of 0.484 reflects lower volatility relative to the broader market, likely due to its stable but low-growth profile.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

S Line’s strategic advantages include its diversified service mix and regional expertise, though its outlook remains cautious due to industry-wide cost pressures. Technological integration and niche service offerings could drive incremental growth, but macroeconomic headwinds may limit upside.

Sources

Company description, financial data from disclosed filings (FY 2024), market data from JPX.

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount