investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic ValueEmimen Co., Ltd. (9237.T)

Previous Close¥871.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥871.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Emimen Co., Ltd. operates in Japan's senior care industry, specializing in senior home introduction and consulting services. The company facilitates transitions for elderly individuals into senior homes while providing critical advisory services for senior home management and new facility openings. Its revenue model is built on service fees from home introductions and consulting, positioning it as a niche player in Japan's rapidly aging society. Emimen differentiates itself through localized expertise and a focus on care prime community site management, catering to the growing demand for elderly care solutions. The company’s market position is strengthened by Japan’s demographic trends, where an aging population drives sustained demand for senior housing and related services. However, competition from larger healthcare and real estate firms could pose challenges to its growth trajectory.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Emimen reported revenue of ¥1.30 billion for FY 2024, with net income of ¥179.6 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 13.8%. The company generated ¥158.1 million in operating cash flow, indicating efficient cash conversion from operations. Capital expenditures were modest at ¥11.0 million, suggesting a lean operational model with limited reinvestment needs.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS stood at ¥86.62, demonstrating solid earnings power relative to its market cap. With operating cash flow covering capital expenditures comfortably, Emimen exhibits prudent capital allocation. Its lack of dividend payouts suggests a focus on retaining earnings for potential growth initiatives or operational flexibility.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Emimen maintains a strong liquidity position with ¥761.0 million in cash and equivalents, against total debt of ¥116.2 million. This low leverage ratio underscores a conservative financial structure, providing resilience against economic downturns or industry-specific headwinds. The balance sheet reflects a stable foundation for continued operations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth trends are not explicitly provided, but Japan’s aging population supports long-term demand for Emimen’s services. The company does not currently pay dividends, likely prioritizing reinvestment or cash reserves over shareholder distributions. Future growth may hinge on expanding its consulting footprint or scaling its senior home introduction platform.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of ¥3.47 billion, Emimen trades at a P/E multiple of approximately 19.3x based on FY 2024 earnings. The beta of 1.40 suggests higher volatility compared to the broader market, possibly reflecting investor sensitivity to demographic trends and regulatory changes in Japan’s senior care sector.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Emimen’s strategic advantage lies in its specialized focus on Japan’s elderly care market, supported by demographic tailwinds. However, its small scale and niche positioning may limit its ability to compete with larger diversified players. The outlook depends on execution in expanding service offerings and maintaining operational efficiency amid rising industry competition.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount