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Intrinsic ValueCentral Security Patrols Co., Ltd. (9740.T)

Previous Close¥2,913.00
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
¥2,913.00

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Central Security Patrols Co., Ltd. operates in Japan's security and protection services sector, specializing in a diversified portfolio of safety solutions. The company generates revenue through resident security services, including facility and VIP protection, as well as online and home security offerings. Additionally, it provides transportation security for cash and valuables, alongside non-life insurance linked to machine security contracts. Its technological edge comes from constructing and selling surveillance systems, entrance/exit management solutions, and crime prevention equipment installations. Positioned as a comprehensive security provider, the company serves both commercial and residential clients, leveraging its long-standing industry presence since 1966. Its integrated approach—combining physical security, technology, and insurance—strengthens its competitive positioning in Japan's security market, where demand for advanced safety measures continues to grow.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Central Security Patrols reported revenue of JPY 71.4 billion for FY 2025, with net income of JPY 3.2 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 4.5%. Operating cash flow stood at JPY 2.9 billion, while capital expenditures were JPY -2.9 billion, indicating disciplined reinvestment. The company maintains a stable operational framework, balancing service delivery with cost efficiency.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's diluted EPS of JPY 222.04 underscores its earnings capability, supported by a capital-light business model focused on service contracts and technology integration. Its operating cash flow coverage of capital expenditures suggests prudent capital allocation, though further efficiency gains could enhance returns.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Central Security Patrols holds JPY 18.2 billion in cash and equivalents against total debt of JPY 3.4 billion, reflecting a strong liquidity position. The low debt-to-equity ratio indicates conservative financial management, aligning with its stable cash flow generation and low-risk industry profile.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company's growth is tied to Japan's expanding security needs, with potential upside from technological adoption. It pays a dividend of JPY 60 per share, offering a modest yield, signaling a commitment to shareholder returns while retaining capital for strategic investments.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of JPY 35.4 billion and a beta of 0.195, the stock is perceived as low-volatility, trading at a valuation reflective of its steady but moderate growth prospects. Investors likely price in its defensive characteristics and reliable cash flows.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Central Security Patrols benefits from its entrenched market position, diversified service offerings, and technological integration. The outlook remains stable, supported by sustained demand for security services, though innovation in surveillance and AI could present future growth opportunities.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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