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Intrinsic Value of Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI)

Previous Close$21.93
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$21.93

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Albertsons Companies, Inc. operates as a leading grocery retailer in the U.S., serving customers through a network of supermarkets and pharmacies under banners such as Albertsons, Safeway, and Vons. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of grocery products, fresh food, and pharmacy services, complemented by private-label offerings and digital sales channels. Positioned as a competitive player in the highly fragmented grocery sector, Albertsons leverages its extensive store footprint, supply chain efficiency, and customer loyalty programs to maintain market share. The company competes with national chains like Kroger and Walmart, as well as regional players, while adapting to shifting consumer preferences toward e-commerce and health-conscious products. Its dual focus on in-store experience and digital integration supports its resilience in a low-margin industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Albertsons reported revenue of $80.4 billion for FY 2025, with net income of $958.6 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 1.2%. The company's diluted EPS stood at $1.64, while operating cash flow reached $2.68 billion. Despite the capital-intensive nature of the grocery industry, Albertsons demonstrates disciplined cost management, though capital expenditures were not disclosed for the period.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underscored by its ability to generate steady cash flow, with $2.68 billion in operating cash flow for FY 2025. However, the absence of disclosed capital expenditures limits a full assessment of capital efficiency. Albertsons’ focus on optimizing store operations and expanding digital capabilities may enhance returns on invested capital over time.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Albertsons maintains a leveraged balance sheet, with total debt of $14.2 billion and cash equivalents of $293.6 million. The debt load reflects the capital requirements of its store network and potential investments in growth initiatives. While the company’s liquidity appears adequate, its financial health is contingent on sustained cash flow generation to service obligations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends in the grocery sector remain modest, driven by inflation and competitive pricing. Albertsons’ dividend policy includes a payout of $0.51 per share, signaling a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The company’s ability to sustain dividends will depend on maintaining profitability amid industry headwinds.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market valuation influenced by its pending merger with Kroger, Albertsons’ standalone valuation metrics are less relevant. Investors are likely focused on regulatory outcomes and integration prospects rather than traditional valuation multiples.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Albertsons’ strategic advantages include its strong regional presence, private-label offerings, and investments in e-commerce. The outlook hinges on the Kroger merger’s completion, which could reshape its competitive position. Absent the merger, the company faces ongoing margin pressures and the need to innovate in a rapidly evolving grocery landscape.

Sources

Company filings, press releases

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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