investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of ACM Research, Inc. (ACMR)

Previous Close$28.56
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$28.56

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

ACM Research, Inc. operates in the semiconductor equipment industry, specializing in advanced wafer cleaning and processing technologies essential for chip manufacturing. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of single-wafer wet cleaning equipment, which addresses critical challenges in semiconductor fabrication, such as particle removal and defect reduction. ACM serves leading global foundries and memory chip manufacturers, positioning itself as a key enabler of next-generation semiconductor production. The company differentiates itself through proprietary technologies like Space Alternated Phase Shift (SAPS) and Timely Energized Bubble Oscillation (TEBO), which offer superior performance in complex node processes. ACM competes in a concentrated market dominated by larger players but has carved out a niche by focusing on cost-effective, high-performance solutions for advanced packaging and front-end processes. Its strategic partnerships with Chinese semiconductor firms provide a strong foothold in the rapidly expanding Asia-Pacific market, while ongoing R&D investments aim to capture share in emerging segments like 3D NAND and EUV lithography support layers.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

ACM reported $782.1 million in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of $103.6 million, reflecting a 13.2% net margin. Diluted EPS stood at $1.55, demonstrating scalable profitability as revenue grew. Operating cash flow of $152.5 million indicates efficient working capital management, though $82.5 million in capital expenditures suggests ongoing investment in production capacity and R&D to support future growth initiatives.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company's earnings power is underscored by its ability to maintain double-digit net margins in a cyclical industry. With $407.4 million in cash against $188.8 million of debt, ACM retains ample liquidity to fund operations and innovation. The 62.2 million diluted shares outstanding imply a disciplined approach to equity dilution, preserving shareholder value.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

ACM's balance sheet remains robust with a cash-to-debt ratio of 2.2x, providing financial flexibility. Total debt of $188.8 million is manageable relative to its cash position and operating cash flows. The absence of significant goodwill or intangible assets suggests a lean asset structure focused on tangible R&D and manufacturing capabilities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been driven by adoption in China's semiconductor expansion, though geographic concentration presents both opportunity and risk. The $0.11 per share dividend signals a shareholder-friendly capital allocation policy, albeit with a modest yield, as the company prioritizes reinvestment for technology leadership in the capital-intensive semiconductor equipment sector.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At current trading levels, ACM's valuation reflects expectations for continued penetration in China's domestic semiconductor supply chain and potential wins with global IDMs. The P/E multiple suggests investors anticipate mid-teens earnings growth, balancing cyclical risks with secular demand for localized chip manufacturing equipment.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

ACM's technology leadership in wet cleaning systems and strategic positioning in China's semiconductor self-sufficiency drive provide durable advantages. Near-term outlook depends on customer capacity expansions, while long-term success hinges on maintaining technological differentiation amid intensifying competition. The company's focused R&D and asset-light model position it to capitalize on industry transitions to advanced nodes.

Sources

Company 10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount