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Intrinsic Value of ADMA Biologics, Inc. (ADMA)

Previous Close$18.51
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$18.51

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

ADMA Biologics, Inc. operates in the biopharmaceutical industry, specializing in the development, manufacturing, and commercialization of plasma-derived biologics. The company focuses on therapies for immune deficiencies and infectious diseases, with a core revenue model driven by product sales of its FDA-approved treatments, including immune globulin products and specialty plasma-derived therapies. ADMA’s vertically integrated operations—spanning plasma collection, fractionation, and purification—enhance supply chain control and cost efficiency, positioning it as a niche player in a highly regulated market. The company serves a critical role in addressing unmet medical needs, particularly for immunocompromised patients, and competes with larger biopharmaceutical firms by leveraging its specialized expertise and targeted product portfolio. Its market position is reinforced by strategic partnerships and a growing commercial footprint, though it remains smaller in scale compared to industry leaders. ADMA’s focus on rare disease therapies and plasma-derived products provides a defensible niche, but its growth is contingent on regulatory approvals, plasma supply stability, and competitive pricing dynamics.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

ADMA reported revenue of $426.5 million for FY 2024, reflecting strong demand for its plasma-derived therapies. Net income reached $197.7 million, with diluted EPS of $0.81, underscoring improved profitability. Operating cash flow of $118.7 million and modest capital expenditures of $8.6 million highlight efficient cash generation and disciplined reinvestment, supporting the company’s ability to fund growth initiatives while maintaining financial flexibility.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is evident in its robust net income margin of approximately 46%, driven by high-margin biologic products and operational scale. Capital efficiency is further demonstrated by its ability to generate significant operating cash flow relative to capital expenditures, enabling self-sustaining growth and reducing reliance on external financing.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

ADMA’s balance sheet remains solid, with $103.1 million in cash and equivalents and total debt of $82.1 million, reflecting a conservative leverage profile. The company’s liquidity position and manageable debt levels provide a stable foundation for ongoing operations and potential strategic investments, though its growth trajectory may require continued capital allocation discipline.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

ADMA has demonstrated consistent revenue growth, supported by expanding commercial adoption of its therapies. The company does not currently pay dividends, opting instead to reinvest cash flows into R&D and commercialization efforts. Future growth will likely hinge on pipeline advancements, regulatory milestones, and market penetration, with dividend initiation unlikely in the near term.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market appears to value ADMA’s niche positioning and profitability, though its smaller scale and reliance on plasma-derived products introduce volatility risks. Investors likely focus on its ability to sustain growth in a competitive biopharmaceutical landscape, with valuation metrics reflecting optimism around its specialized product portfolio and margin profile.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

ADMA’s strategic advantages include its vertically integrated model, FDA-approved product portfolio, and focus on rare disease therapies. The outlook is cautiously optimistic, with growth potential tied to execution in commercial expansion and pipeline development. Regulatory risks and plasma supply dynamics remain key monitorables, but the company’s profitability and cash flow generation provide a resilient foundation.

Sources

Company filings, financial statements

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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