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Intrinsic ValueAdVini S.A. (ADVI.PA)

Previous Close20.20
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
20.20

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2021 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

AdVini S.A. is a prominent player in the global wine industry, specializing in the production, marketing, and distribution of wines across France and international markets. Founded in 1870, the company has built a strong reputation for its diverse portfolio of premium and mid-range wines, catering to both retail and wholesale channels. AdVini operates in the competitive Beverages - Wineries & Distilleries sector, leveraging its long-standing heritage and expertise to maintain a solid market position. The company’s revenue model is driven by direct sales, partnerships with distributors, and brand recognition, particularly in key European markets. AdVini’s strategic focus on quality and terroir-driven wines allows it to differentiate itself in a crowded industry. While facing competition from larger multinational players and boutique producers, the company maintains relevance through its balanced mix of traditional craftsmanship and modern distribution capabilities. Its market positioning is further reinforced by its ability to adapt to evolving consumer preferences, including the growing demand for sustainable and organic wines.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2021, AdVini reported revenue of €280.2 million, reflecting its steady market presence. Net income stood at €4.0 million, with diluted EPS of €1.05, indicating modest profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at €27.7 million, supported by efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures of €9.7 million suggest ongoing investments in production and distribution capabilities, aligning with long-term growth objectives.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

AdVini’s earnings power is underscored by its ability to generate consistent operating cash flow, which exceeded net income by a significant margin. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its balanced approach to reinvestment, with capex focused on maintaining and expanding its production infrastructure. However, the relatively low net income margin highlights the competitive pressures and cost dynamics inherent in the wine industry.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

AdVini’s balance sheet shows €24.7 million in cash and equivalents, providing liquidity for near-term obligations. Total debt of €187.9 million indicates a leveraged position, though the company’s stable cash flow generation helps mitigate refinancing risks. The debt level, while elevated, is manageable given the industry’s capital-intensive nature and AdVini’s established market position.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

AdVini’s growth trajectory is supported by its focus on premiumization and international expansion. The company paid a dividend of €0.50 per share in FY 2021, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns despite moderate earnings. Future growth will likely depend on its ability to capitalize on trends such as organic wines and direct-to-consumer sales channels.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market capitalization of approximately €77.5 million, AdVini trades at a modest valuation relative to its revenue base. The low beta of 0.37 suggests lower volatility compared to broader markets, aligning with its defensive sector. Investor expectations appear tempered, likely due to the company’s niche positioning and the competitive dynamics of the wine industry.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

AdVini’s strategic advantages include its heritage brand equity, diversified product portfolio, and strong distribution network. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with opportunities in premium and sustainable wine segments offsetting challenges like input cost inflation and regulatory pressures. The company’s ability to innovate while preserving its traditional strengths will be critical to sustaining long-term growth.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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